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BIG ONE FOR ONE DROP Reinkemeier AA Tank-Fold

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acerbikas
Joined: 03.01.2011

Hi there,

just saw this hand on the live updates and had an interesting discussion with my friend about this 'lolwut?' moment in the game.

Hand #13: Scott Seiver raised to 1.2 million from the hijack, Tobias Reinkemeier defended his big blind, and the flop fell 4 :club: q :spade: 2 :club:. Reinkemeier checked, Seiver bet 1.5 million and Reinkemeier called.

The turn was the j :club:. Reinkemeier checked and Seiver moved all in for 6.825 million.

The German tanked for the better part of three minutes before standing up out of his chair, then sitting down once again. Reinkemeier hung his head over the back of the chair - he's sitting in it backwards - and cocked his head as he stared down Seiver.

The two exchanged light words, then both chuckled. The tank continued for a few more minutes. Reinkemeier did his best to get anything he could out of Seiver, but he didn't budge.

Finally, the clock was called, and 55 seconds later Reinkemeier folded, saying he had aces. "There's NO way you had aces!" Seiver objected. Reinkemeier pulled his cards back and indeed revealed two aces - we believe they were the a :diamond: a :spade:- and mucked them once again. Seiver showed the bluff; k :spade: t :spade:.

Is it really me or he so damn overlevelled himself? I mean, if his line was meant to induce vs Seiver after balancing his range vs the whole table if it gets to showdown, what the heck did he expect seiver to show up with here? If you don't 3bet pre and see the flop, you either raise it and get him in anyways, or just call him off and call off turn barrel (since only fd completes, and it opens up even more semi-bluff draws with TP+club draw etc.).


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Yeah I don't like the fold either, but with ICM considerations and meta-game it's really hard to say what exactly was going through Reinkemeier's head. He may or may not have gotten some live tell as well. This spot certainly isn't absolutely clear-cut, so you can't fault the fold.

Outside of meta-game (ie specific dynamics) and gameflow here are the pros for folding:

1. Remaining field is extremely soft. I believe just under half the remaining 8 were amateurs, and we had position on (IMO) the best player on the table (Daniel Colman).
2. Siever knows field is soft, so could be playing a bit more small ball as well.
3. Equity against Siever's semi-bluff range is not amazing here.

Cons for folding:

1. Hand is extremely underrepped.
2. We're ITM here and payout from here is very top heavy, with small jumps until about 4th place.


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