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nl50 zoom QTs

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kikoihnat
Joined: 04.02.2014

PokerStars - $0.50 NL FAST - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 602.48 BB (VPIP: 14.43, PFR: 11.43, 3Bet Preflop: 6.34, Hands: 2,336)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 17.64, PFR: 14.17, 3Bet Preflop: 7.58, Hands: 730)
BB: 65.8 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
UTG: 60.86 BB (VPIP: 15.17, PFR: 10.64, 3Bet Preflop: 4.30, Hands: 2,771)
UTG+1: 63.68 BB (VPIP: 13.54, PFR: 9.87, 3Bet Preflop: 3.08, Hands: 2,036)
MP: 80.34 BB (VPIP: 12.82, PFR: 6.41, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 80)
MP+1: 113.26 BB (VPIP: 16.32, PFR: 12.78, 3Bet Preflop: 4.71, Hands: 11,319)
Hero (MP+2): 445.92 BB
CO: 120.96 BB (VPIP: 12.99, PFR: 10.45, 3Bet Preflop: 5.01, Hands: 1,944)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♥ Q♥

fold, fold, fold, MP+1 raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 8 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, MP+1 calls 5 BB

Flop: (17.5 BB, 2 players) K♥ 4♣ 3♠
MP+1 checks, Hero bets 8.5 BB, MP+1 calls 8.5 BB

Turn: (34.5 BB, 2 players) 6♥
MP+1 checks, Hero bets 16.5 BB, MP+1 raises to 46 BB, Hero calls 29.5 BB

River: (126.5 BB, 2 players) 5♥
MP+1 bets 50.76 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 50.76 BB

MP+1 shows K♦ K♣ (Three of a Kind, Kings) (Pre 81%, Flop 94%, Turn 84%)
Hero shows T♥ Q♥ (Flush, King High) (Pre 19%, Flop 6%, Turn 16%)
Hero wins 223.02 BB

is it profitable in long run to call turn raise w FD when i know that he only x/raises sets or better OTT and when i hit river he definitely gonna pay me ?


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Kikoihnat,

Preflop 3b can sometimes be ok in a vacuum but should likely be outside our default 3b bluff range, so preflop fold is fine here.

Flop should be ok to cbet with intention to barrel decent turns. 6:h is decent so we can fire again.

Vs x/r situation becomes very close to break-even. Assuming villain always has set we only have 7 live outs meaning we have roughly 14% chance to hit and we need about 23% according to our pot odds. It essentially mean we need villain to stack off close to 100% frequency on the turn when we hit our non-dominated flush. It also means we can't lose money when we hit a dominated flush.


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