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50 underfull vs river bet

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Omahasaurus
Joined: 04.01.2012

villain is 40/24/7 over 360hands

notes - c/c 2 big bets OOP w/bottom set on 468ssx xs, didnt turn it into bluff OTR

not sure what his minr pre means ...

wasnt quite sure whether to cbet this flop? he opens ~20% from mp so i assumed its mustve hit him in some way and i didnt wanna get c/raised. dunno if thats not too nitty

turn - betting for value, i think calling his raise here is standard

river - he bets just over 1/2 of the pot, im blocking the top set, confusing spot, as i dont need to right more than ~25%, but at the same time i was repping my hand credibly and based on my read i didnt think he'd be capable of firing air here, and i thought that he would c/c'd worse boats.

thoughts?

SB: $66.31 (132.6 bb)
BB: $28.63 (57.3 bb)
MP: $67.98 (136 bb)
Hero (CO): $62.01 (124 bb)
BTN: $48.46 (96.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A♥ A♠ 8♣ J♥
MP raises to $1, Hero raises to $3.75, 3 folds, MP calls $2.75

Flop: ($8.25) T♦ J♣ 8♠ (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($8.25) 8♦ (2 players)
MP checks, Hero bets $5.91, MP raises to $13.75, Hero calls $7.84

River: ($35.75) 3♣ (2 players)
MP bets $20.50, Hero???


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6 replies
Krach-Bumm-Ente
Joined: 01.05.2006

I would probably just cbet the flop since you block outs for KQ and you rarely improve on the turn.
As played river seems to be a fold.


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

checking flop is probably better than a cbet on this precise board. As you say, it smashes his range. River is tough. With the price given i can't se it being a mistake, especially from a guy that openraises 247%

Regards,

Skod


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Krach-Bumm-Ente
Joined: 01.05.2006

What's the plan on blank turns after we check behind? Just fold?
I'd just bet to fold out all of his air and weak equity and make the hand easy, I think it's tough to play once we check and don't happen to make a boat (and even then). If you just fold turns then it's fine I guess, but maybe a bit weak.


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Omahasaurus
Joined: 04.01.2012

Originally posted by Skodljivec
Hi,

checking flop is probably better than a cbet on this precise board. As you say, it smashes his range. River is tough. With the price given i can't se it being a mistake, especially from a guy that openraises 247%

Regards,

Skod

Typo Police has arrived


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Originally posted by Krach-Bumm-Ente
What's the plan on blank turns after we check behind? Just fold?
I'd just bet to fold out all of his air and weak equity and make the hand easy, I think it's tough to play once we check and don't happen to make a boat (and even then). If you just fold turns then it's fine I guess, but maybe a bit weak.

Definetly call once to a bet. I don't like betting because the board hits his range too hard.

Regards,

Skod


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Krach-Bumm-Ente
Joined: 01.05.2006

I don't like betting because the board hits his range too hard.

then why do you want to call a bet on the turn?

sure, he could bluff on the turn, but we have very little chance on improving and we open ourselves up to being 2barreled where we have to fold then. and i think it's quite likely a 40/27 will bet twice once we check back on the flop. additionally we give him a fourth card to make a hand if he didn't make it with 3.


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