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draw vs sets

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Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)

Known players:
[tg]CO$6.43:///////;BU$9.25:///////;SB$5.00:///////;BB$5.21:///////;MP1 (Hero)$4.90:///////;MP2$4.63:///////;MP3$2.29:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 4:h, 5:h.
Hero raises to $0.07, MP2 folds, MP3 raises to $0.12, CO calls $0.12, BU folds, SB calls $0.11, BB calls $0.10, Hero calls $0.05.

Flop: ($0.6) A:d, 7:h, 5:s (5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks, MP3 checks, CO bets $0.26, SB calls $0.26, BB folds, Hero calls $0.26, MP3 folds.

Turn: ($1.38) 8:h (3 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO bets $0.70, SB raises to $2.80, Hero calls $2.80, CO raises to $6.04, SB calls $1.81, Hero calls $1.71.

River: ($16.54) A:c (3 players)

Final Pot: $16.54.
Results follow:

SB shows a full-house, fives full of aces(5:d 5:c).
Hero shows two pairs, aces and fives(4:h 5:h).
CO shows a full-house, sevens full of aces(7:d 7:c).

CO wins with a full-house, sevens full of aces(7:d 7:c).

How did I play? Is it wrong to call $2.8 on turn?


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4 replies

On turn,
pot size = (1.38+.7+2.8) = 4.88
to call = 2.8

Pot odds
= (pot size + to call ) to (to call)
= (4.88+2.8) to 2.8
= 2.74 to 1

Break even %
= 100/(pot odds added together)
= 100/(2.74+1)
= 26.7%

According to Card Player calculator,
http://www.cardplayer.com/poker-tools/odds-calculator/texas-holdem

My draw has 26.19% equity to win against 2 made sets on turn.

Hence the call should be a slightly losing play if we disregard implied odds?

Please feel free to comment.


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Hello,

I'm used to playing 6handed, but in first position this hand is too weak to open.
On the flop you can fold. CO betting into 5 people indicates strength, and your weak pair with backdoors is simply too weak to call.
As played, the turn is a fold, especially after the raise and because you're not drawing to the nut-FD.


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another example, how did I play?

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.01/$0.02 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

Known players:
[tg]MP1$5.91:///////;MP2$5.00:///////;MP3$5.91:///////;CO (Hero)$4.94:///////;BU$7.54:///////;SB$1.02:///////;BB$4.69:///////;UTG1$4.26:///////;UTG2$4.55:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is CO with 2:c, A:c.
UTG1 raises to $0.04, UTG2 calls $0.04, MP1 calls $0.04, MP2 calls $0.04, MP3 folds, Hero calls $0.04, BU folds, SB raises to $1.01(All-In), BB folds, UTG1 calls $0.97, UTG2 calls $0.97, MP1 folds, MP2 calls $0.97, Hero calls $0.97.

Flop: ($5.11) 7:c, 2:s, 8:c (4 players)
UTG1 bets $3.24, UTG2 raises to $3.53, MP2 raises to $3.98, Hero calls $3.92.

Turn: ($19.78) 8:h (5 players)

River: ($19.78) T:c (5 players)

Final Pot: $19.78.
Results follow:

MP2 shows a pair of eights(5:c 6:d).
Hero shows a flush, ace high(2:c A:c).
SB shows a pair of eights(A:d Q:c).
UTG1 shows two pairs, eights and sevens(A:h 7:h).
UTG2 shows a straight, jack high(J:s 9:d).

Hero wins with a flush, ace high(2:c A:c).


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Flop you have enough odds to call but preflop I'd fold to the 50BB shove.


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