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stupid calldown or genius play?

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PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Bmth26 (CO): 101 BB (VPIP: 20.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
NaturoSasuki (BTN): 390.2 BB
OasisKid1982 (SB): 79 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 2)
0morima0 (BB): 143.6 BB (VPIP: 15.93, PFR: 12.39, 3Bet Preflop: 2.00, Hands: 113)

OasisKid1982 posts SB 0.4 BB, 0morima0 posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) NaturoSasuki has 9♣ A♠

fold, NaturoSasuki raises to 3 BB, fold, 0morima0 raises to 10 BB, NaturoSasuki calls 7 BB

i was stealing huge time, i had 53/35 stats , so even he has tight stats, he can 3bet loose here especially cause its BBvsBTN, and a lot of players play horribly postflop they dont know to bluff once or twice with some good not spewy sizing, but they j bluff off whole stack , big bet bluffs all the time..
so im calling

Flop: (20.4 BB, 2 players) T♥ 9♥ 4♦
0morima0 bets 11 BB, NaturoSasuki calls 11 BB

here i get nice showdown hand, no reason to raise
he repps only tight range of TT+ but still he might just call them preflop as lot of players just call TT/JJ even BBvsBTN

Turn: (42.4 BB, 2 players) T♠
0morima0 bets 25 BB, NaturoSasuki calls 25 BB

turn doesnt help any semibluffs like JQ,AQhh,JKhh... he repps only tight range of JJ+ now or some semibluff like KJhh or AKhh, but TT is only one combo so JJ+..

River: (92.4 BB, 2 players) 7♠
0morima0 bets 97.6 BB and is all-in, NaturoSasuki calls 97.6 BB

every draw busted, i expect here him to jam, especially if he jam, it looks like he just want to scare, if he had hand, he would want some 60% valuebet maybe or not?
anyway, im calling flop and turn with intention of calling down on blank river, so if i wouldnt be calling there, i would not call flop/turn in first place

0morima0 shows K♠ J♥ (One Pair, Tens) (Pre 42%, Flop 41%, Turn 23%)
NaturoSasuki shows 9♣ A♠ (Two Pair, Tens and Nines) (Pre 58%, Flop 59%, Turn 77%)
NaturoSasuki wins 277.6 BB


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4 replies

Hello,

Don't like it.

Preflop I prefer to fold vs the 3bet with A9o. There are better hands to defend with.

Overall, I don't think people at these stakes are going to triple barrel bluff often here so I would rather fold river.

Best,
Plamen


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Originally posted by kymupa
Hello,
Don't like it.

:(


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Lucky Call down.

I wouldn't call 3-bet with A9o as noted above. Either fold or 4-bet re steal (depending on stats).

Since you called. I don't like calling down 3 streets with 2nd pair in a 3-bet pot. On the flop either call once and then give up if he double barrels on the turn or re-raise flop to fold his AK, AQ, AJ hands and I guess KJ as well since apparently he 3-bets that wide.

Yes you made a really nice read in the end but you shouldn't be results oriented because in the long run I feel in this situation your opponent is not bluffing very often.


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but look at it from his side, what does he expect me to call with if he bets 97bb into 94 pot OTR if he had JJ? does he wants me to have TX? no .. would he put me on 9X? mostly no too... does he think i will call potbet with 9X? maybe...

i still think if he had JJ, he would checkcall to let me bluff, and same with QQ/JJ i think he would be doing some thin valuebet instead , instead of potsized jam, that looks like bluff often


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