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K8s turn into bluff river

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

partypoker - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 192.5 BB (VPIP: 20.84, PFR: 8.02, 3Bet Preflop: 2.55, Hands: 488)
SB: 147.86 BB (VPIP: 25.33, PFR: 20.08, 3Bet Preflop: 7.62, Hands: 2,347)
Hero (BB): 195.34 BB
UTG: 176.46 BB (VPIP: 25.89, PFR: 21.27, 3Bet Preflop: 11.86, Hands: 4,624)
MP: 48.9 BB (VPIP: 29.59, PFR: 24.26, 3Bet Preflop: 11.48, Hands: 173)
CO: 125.52 BB (VPIP: 28.63, PFR: 19.24, 3Bet Preflop: 8.72, Hands: 951)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has 8♣ K♣

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, Hero calls 2 BB

Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) 7♠ K♦ 7♦
Hero checks, CO bets 4.51 BB, fold, Hero calls 4.51 BB

Turn: (18.52 BB, 2 players) 9♥
Hero checks, CO bets 13 BB, Hero calls 13 BB

River: (44.52 BB, 2 players) 5♦
Hero bets 25 BB, fold

Spoiler

Hero wins 67.3 BB

is preflop ok?

flop and turn I guess standard vs reg. Is river ok? I probably win 0% given multiway action, so I turn it as buttom of range, also it blocks 78, KK, K7s. so I hoped to fold his 7x, AK, AA, KQ, KJ.


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5 replies
jules97
Joined: 10.06.2012

I'm not sure you're going to to get many folds out of Kx+


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jules97
Joined: 10.06.2012

preflop i think is borderline, i'd probably call v 2.5x, 3b v 3x


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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Originally posted by jules97
I'm not sure you're going to to get many folds out of Kx+

In the world of nitty regs i think i will get enough folds given 3way action. There are no busted draws in both ranges so if villian would call most Kx he would call too often which means i will gain more EV from flushes.
In such spot i would play bluff heavy because regs give a lot of credit


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

It's not like you have a blocker, he has plenty of flush combos here too.

53 combos in total

7h7c, AhKh, AsKs, AcKc, AdQd, KhQh, KsQs, KcQc, AdJd, QdJd, AdTd, QdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Qd9d, Jd9d, Td9d, Ad8d, Qd8d, Jd8d, Td8d, 9d8d, Ah7h, Ac7c, Kh7h, Kc7c, 9c7c, 8h7h, 8c7c, Ad6d, 7h6h, 7c6c, Ad4d, Ad3d, Ad2d, AdKh, AdKs, AdKc, AhKs, AhKc, AsKh, AsKc, AcKh, AcKs, KhQd, KhQs, KhQc, KsQd, KsQh, KsQc, KcQd, KcQh, KcQs

If I remove AK/KQ, he's left with 29 combos (doesn't include blockers)

With blockers, total combos = 43# ->27#

I guess the upside is that you prevent yourself from getting bluffed by a backdoor straight draw like JT. Still not a very compelling reason to lead the river.

It's 3way and expecting him to value bet the Turn any thinner than KQ is probably unrealistic.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Originally posted by jules97
preflop i think is borderline, i'd probably call v 2.5x, 3b v 3x

agree with this, cutoff for calling should be ~K9s or KTs, K9s has some straight potential at least.


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