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TT vs pot size bet on 99x

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GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

partypoker - $1 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 23.05, PFR: 18.76, 3Bet Preflop: 5.92, Hands: 2,848)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 26.75, PFR: 20.04, 3Bet Preflop: 6.58, Hands: 1,011)
Hero (BB): 153.05 BB
UTG: 55.82 BB (VPIP: 24.20, PFR: 18.26, 3Bet Preflop: 6.90, Hands: 221)
MP: 196.33 BB (VPIP: 31.71, PFR: 22.49, 3Bet Preflop: 10.60, Hands: 381)
CO: 110.21 BB (VPIP: 19.05, PFR: 13.27, 3Bet Preflop: 6.03, Hands: 3,923)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♠ T♦

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, Hero calls 2 BB

Flop: (6.5 BB, 2 players) 5♥ 9♣ 9♠
Hero checks, CO bets 6.18 BB, Hero calls 6.18 BB

Turn: (18.86 BB, 2 players) 7♦
Hero checks, CO bets 11.94 BB, Hero calls 11.94 BB

River: (42.74 BB, 2 players) 7♣
Hero checks, CO checks

Spoiler

Hero shows T♠ T♦ (Two Pair, Tens and Nines) (Pre 57%, Flop 76%, Turn 86%)
CO mucks A♥ J♠ (Two Pair, Nines and Sevens) (Pre 43%, Flop 24%, Turn 14%)
Hero wins 40.61 BB

cbet 50%, 19% CO range.

I saw him several times pot size bet and give up turn, once even 2x overbet on dry board and give up. several times also cbet 3/4 pot with value hand so it seems that he has great bet size tell.

I call flop, with turn I was not happy to call because he gave up in each situations on turn up to now, but I called it because his river bet bluff frequency is only 5% so he will shutdown too often meanning I should exploit him by calling flop and turn wider with SD value and folding all bluff catchers on river?


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey GingerKid,

Preflop defend is fine, 3betting is fine although CO rfi range is tighter than average.

Assuming reads are correct flop is likely to be a bluff.

Flop + turn are standard check-calls anyway.

River likely a x/c also given the bet-sizing tell on flop since turn and river card very unlikely to improve villain.


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