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MWP combo draw, this spot is never +EV right?

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marcosmartinez
Joined: 03.07.2013

hi guys

pf i call given there are 2 fishes (mp and bu) and i recive great odds

postflop i dont know what to do:

a. call his raise
b. 3bet/broke asumming i have some FE if he is raising some pp like 77-99 and probably other draws

vs his top range i have 39% of equity, but i think that shoving here is going to a 40-60 vs his sets

i dont know if i have the minimun succes to 3bet/broke here..


Mesa: 4♣5♣2♦
       Equity   Ganar  Empate
UTG    60.21%  59.34%   0.87% { 55-44, 22, 63s, 54s, 3dAd, 3hAh, 3sAs, 3cAc, 54o }
UTG+1  39.79%  38.92%   0.87% { Ac6c }

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $29.69 (118.8 bb)
Hero (BB): $25 (100 bb)
UTG+1: $14.43 (57.7 bb)
UTG+2: $31.61 (126.4 bb)
MP1: $24.54 (98.2 bb)
MP2: $31.64 (126.6 bb)
MP3: $12.50 (50 bb)
CO: $26.97 (107.9 bb)
BTN: $23.22 (92.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A 6
UTG+1 raises to $0.50, 2 folds, MP2 raises to $0.75, MP3 calls $0.75, CO folds, BTN calls $0.75, SB folds, Hero calls $0.50, UTG+1 calls $0.25

Flop: ($3.85) 4 5 2 (5 players)
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks, MP2 bets $0.75, MP3 folds, BTN raises to $3.34, Hero raises to $9, 2 folds, BTN calls $5.66

Turn: ($22.60) 7 (2 players)
Hero bets $15.25 and is all-in, BTN calls $13.47 and is all-in

River: ($49.54) 2 (2 players, 2 are all-in)


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey marcomartinez,

Preflop call is fine (obviously nicer if we are closing the action though).

Flop we can just lead 5-way, often ends up being strongest. BTN raise vs MP2 cbet is very strong in a 5-way pot so re-raising is unlikely the best option. Calling is good and attempting to encourage a multi-way pot where we can take advantage of the better pot-odds. Raising can never be that bad given our considerable equity but unlikely to be the highest EV.

Same issue with the turn. Can never be that bad, I recommend passively play with draws when our FE is estimated to be low however.


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