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Betting flushdraws with missed river shove

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[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #32122912

BTN: $13.61 (136.1 bb)
SB: $10.16 (101.6 bb)
BB: $8.55 (85.5 bb)
MP: $12.04 (120.4 bb)
Hero (CO): $10.55 (105.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with A♦ 4♦
MP folds, Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, BB calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.65) 9♠ T♦ 8♦ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.50, BB calls $0.50

Turn: ($1.65) Q♥ (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.40, BB calls $1.40

River: ($4.45) 9♥ (2 players)
BB bets $2.12, Hero raises to $8.35 and is all-in, BB calls $4.23 and is all-in

[/hand_history][replayer=32122912][/replayer][/converted_hand]

So this is a quite interesting hand I think.

Flop is I guess a standard semibluff bet where I have alot of fold equity.

On turn I bet but is checking an option? What cards in his range will he fold? A8, A9, AT might fold and AK will fold.
But when so many hands gets there on turn is a bet +ev? It might be harder for him to spot my flush.

In the river situation, what part of his range does the 50% pot bet? I thought it was a blocker bet or thin value bet
where often he has the state "I fold to a raise". Can he sometimes fold a straight here given he has 25% in potodds?
With my line hands like 89s QTs 99,88,TT,QQ,KJs could be in my range so when put in this situation his hand is basicly a bluff catcher.

He did not have any reads on me as we only had 17 hands on same table. He was not an obvious fish.

So what do you guys think about the turn and river decisions? What do you think about the opponents plays?


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Super Moderator
VorpalF2F
Joined: 02.09.2010

Hi, Mrpiink,
Disclaimer: I am NOT a coach!;
I really like the semi-bluff OTF.

The Q:h OTT makes any straight w/ a J, so maybe I'm taking a free card here.

When the board pairs, I can't imagine a hand that would bet/fold the river when half his stack is already in the pot, and you certainly aren't beating anything.

btw, I see you posted this hand from Holdem Manager.
If you right-click the button in the viewer that puts the hand on the clipboard, there is a PokerStrategy.com option that looks a wee bit better.

Best of luck,
VS


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