Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

[SH] Bottom set on AJT board OOP

5 Posts
3 Users
0 Reactions
35 Views
fuzzyfish
Joined: 12.01.2010

In the past I had no doubts in this situatin, I'd just rip it in as fast as I could. Lately I have heard opinions tho that bottom set on this particular board might not as strong as I think and playing it super fast is actually overrepping it...

So here I am again on the turn and I'm thinking of playing it a bit slower. But it just feels so sick to call his raise instead of reraising. He can have draws... Also he might raise AJ, AT or JT here for value against draws and check back river for pot control, which would suck big time for me.

Villain is a standard regular.

P.S. If you think we should reraise turn, then what sizing would you use?

$4/$8 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $270 (33.8 bb)
BB: $1,711.19 (213.9 bb)
Hero (CO): $1,166.78 (145.8 bb)
BTN: $1,737 (217.1 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with T T
Hero raises to $24, BTN calls $24, 2 folds

Flop: ($60) J A T (2 players)
Hero bets $42, BTN calls $42

Turn: ($144) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $100, BTN raises to $268, Hero ???


Reply
Quote
4 replies
GingerKid
Joined: 05.08.2007

Imo hand is strong enough for 3 big bets, but likely marginal as raise at any point since he can have 16 better combos. When you bet, villian gets cappt after calling on so drawy board, and on turn even more. Thats why you can 3barrel TT since you can discard many KQ combos on river. If he would never raise KQ then it would be very marginal river bet.

If he raises you at any point he clearly reps only KQ for value because AJ and AT would be big overplay. So vs raise if you 3bet it is likely breakeven if villian is balanced, and if you call you have only bluff catcher with draw. So imo easy call vs raise.


Reply
Quote
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Very clear flat here when he has 16 combos of straights for reasons already covered by GK


Reply
Quote
fuzzyfish
Joined: 12.01.2010

Ok, call the turn, but what about various river runouts, check call on brick? Donk if river boat?

P.S. Are you sure we cant put JJ (and maybe even AA) in his range also?


Reply
Quote
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

he will rarely have AA. He could have JJ sometimes. Nevertheless, this hand is too strong to fold and too weak to reraise which leaves calling as the only option.

do we donk a pairing river? Yes if we think that
1. He doesn't valuebet KQ himself
2. He never bluffs


Reply
Quote