I have only 100 hands on on villain, but he's a 28/14 fish with 36% wtsd and 80% "call 3bet", so I decide to isolate him (cutoff is a weakish reg...). QTo is not great hand vs MP of course and I think its about the weakest hand I isolate with here.
On the turn I think betting would be over-repping my hand, would look like AQ+... Only weaker hand I see calling here is flush draw, which could also shove which wouldnt make me particularly happy.
On the river I'm thinking my turn check could have given him a wrong impression and he might think im capped to Jx... His river AFq is 83% (but as I said, not a big sample.)
$5/$10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $197 (19.7 bb)
BB: $2,138.96 (213.9 bb)
MP: $1,977.38 (197.7 bb)
CO: $988.50 (98.9 bb)
Hero (BTN): $1,071.81 (107.2 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with T
Q![]()
MP raises to $20, CO calls $20, Hero raises to $75, 2 folds, MP calls $55, CO calls $55
Flop: ($240) 4
9
J
(3 players)
MP checks, CO checks, Hero bets $150, MP calls $150, CO folds
Turn: ($540) Q
(2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks
River: ($540) 9
(2 players)
MP bets $1,752.38 and is all-in, Hero ???