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75$R QQ vs donk on very connected board

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julito23
Joined: 24.08.2011

iPoker - €69.00+€6.00|<> NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 23.62 BB (VPIP: 6.06, PFR: 6.45, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
MP+1: 41.2 BB (VPIP: 14.10, PFR: 7.79, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 78)
MP+2: 52.34 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 12.78, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 135)
CO: 98.39 BB
BTN: 44.8 BB (VPIP: 15.63, PFR: 7.81, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 64)
SB: 24.7 BB (VPIP: 18.25, PFR: 8.82, 3Bet Preflop: 1.79, Hands: 137)
BB: 27.31 BB (VPIP: 14.06, PFR: 12.70, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 65)
UTG: 47.5 BB (VPIP: 19.05, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
Hero (UTG+1): 16.76 BB

9 players post ante of 0.14 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.79 BB) Hero has Q♥ Q♦

fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, MP+2 calls 2 BB, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 1 BB

Flop: (7.79 BB, 3 players) 6♣ 8♥ 7♠
BB bets 3.79 BB, Hero calls 3.79 BB, fold

Turn: (15.36 BB, 2 players) 8♣
BB bets 21.39 BB, Hero calls 10.83 BB

River: (37.01 BB, 2 players) K♠

Villan is unknown, but has taggy stats.

What range do you put villain on when he donks that board?

My first guess was that he could be doing it with a hand like 99, TT, JJ, but given my stack size he would have shoved those pre.

Then we are left with 2 pairs and sets. Given that the lead into 2 people looks so strong, would you even call flop?

I think it looks horrible, but it is probably a fold on the flop, with no reads. Thoughts?


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6 replies
TheRebuz
Joined: 12.10.2008

that deep i just shove on flop


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Hi,

Hi can always lead some overcards+gutshots or complete air. You have a lot more overcards which have to fold, so if he has decent draw then he would rather take his fold equity on the flop.
Since there are enough bad turn cards then I would also just shove flop. You´re not folding on blank turns, you sometimes get fold hands that has decent equity and if he should lead 8x hands, then you get money all-in before some scary cards come.

best regards,


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Don't fold turn. I see enough random gutshots and low equity stuff so I'm slowplaying flop. I think you stack most of his pairs anyway on later streets.


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julito23
Joined: 24.08.2011

I would totally agree with you guys if the pot was heads up. What makes me so hesitant, is that my minraise with my stack from utg+1 looks very very strong. Then the flat from MP2 looks also very strong, unless he is a fish. So he is donking into 2 players which have a really strong range. So unless he is planing to stack off against me, and fold to MP2 shove, I am not sure I would put him on such a weak range.


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onetwo78
Joined: 06.07.2010

I would never fold on the flop. I think he can have JT, QT, KT, 98 hands in his range also. I think most of the 66-88 would be shoved preflop. Maybe the 87s is in the donk-range.
I think flop call, turn call is the best line here to keep the bluffs in his range.


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

@julito23: I agree entirely. But all the same we cannot fold this part of our range for this price.


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