Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

deep, bare DP max vs c/mr, semiblank river

2 Posts
2 Users
0 Reactions
161 Views
OsCardozo
Joined: 29.05.2011

iPoker - €2 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 3 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

SB: €610.05 (VPIP: 26.41, PFR: 12.18, 3Bet Preflop: 0.96, Hands: 1,721)
BB: €443.36 (VPIP: 33.36, PFR: 16.25, 3Bet Preflop: 6.63, Hands: 16,047)
Hero (BTN): €452.83

SB posts SB €1.00, BB posts BB €2.00

Pre Flop: (pot: €3.00) Hero has 9♦ 6♥ J♠ A♦

Hero raises to €7.00, SB calls €6.00, fold

Flop: (€16.00, 2 players) 9♠ 3♥ 5♦
SB checks, Hero bets €11.20, SB calls €11.20

Turn: (€38.40, 2 players) J♣
SB checks, Hero bets €28.00, SB raises to €85.68, Hero calls €57.68

River: (€209.76, 2 players) 4♠
SB bets €146.83, Hero calls €146.83

SB shows J♥ 7♥ 9♣ 6♦ (Straight, Seven High)
(Pre 36%, Flop 50%, Turn 56%)
Hero mucks 9♦ 6♥ J♠ A♦ (Two Pair, Jacks and Nines)
(Pre 64%, Flop 50%, Turn 44%)
SB wins €500.92

Preflop+ Flop

seems me std, 3handed BU then HU ip

Turn

2barrel std I guess

when he c/mr on this sizing, I don't believe him very much.

First I don't see tons of sets on his range here. 99xx maybe (but have a blocker), don't see why JJxx would have c/c oop on this flop, and few 33xx/55xx (and i guess he would be play it more safely I think... at least if he decides to c/r with he would have make it pot or heavy at least

but we are deep, even if this board is not superdrawy, I'm not confident to gii that deep with just my bare DP, even if I think it's ahead here.
Don't want to gii vs freeroll (if he got some 9TJx or whatever)

I see more combos on his range, who are trying to make fold some weak hands, and buy initiative to kick me out river if it misses (and equity ok if he gets called).

My plan so is call here and call all rivers who wouldn't be 8/T/Q/K (if he bets on 7 I dont know)

River

that river seems me perfect at first time.

It doesn't complete the most turn draws.

Ye SB may be vbetting a set here, but I think that his guy and with the dynamic, is quite tight here and would be mostly on a c/c river (to induce bluff from me), instead of vbet.

I don't see many low wraps that could have take this line (c/c flop and c/r turn when the equity goes down and that J counterfeiting some outs, the 7 principally)

I think he would very often barrel river with his air / busted draws.
It's his last chance to get the pot, and he could make fold some weak made hands that call turn for the good price, and make fold hands with weak showdown equity (QJTx etc...) but who are beating his absolute air (busted draw)


Reply
Quote
1 reply
Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

don't show results pls.

Turn is kinda scary. I don't know why you said he couldn't have called the flop bet with JJ? That's what i'd do prob. Ott it really depends on how agressive you think he is, and if he is capable of doing this with draws but calling seems superstadard here. Now the problem otr is that if this card hasn't hit him, it sure often hits you due to card removal effect. But i have to agree villain doesn't have many low straights here, so it'd have a hard time folding the river. I think i would call as well, unless he has a low river agression.

Regards,

Skod


Reply
Quote