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crap DP turn on drawy board vs c/r

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OsCardozo
Joined: 29.05.2011

iPoker - €2 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: €189.12 (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
UTG: €120.75 (VPIP: 33.63, PFR: 15.93, 3Bet Preflop: 6.32, Hands: 17,382)
Hero (CO): €200.00
BTN: €326.50 (VPIP: 28.40, PFR: 20.29, 3Bet Preflop: 7.89, Hands: 434)
SB: €530.30 (VPIP: 30.03, PFR: 19.80, 3Bet Preflop: 6.21, Hands: 7,410)

SB posts SB €1.00, BB posts BB €2.00

Pre Flop: (pot: €3.00) Hero has 6♠ Q♠ A♦ J♣

fold, Hero raises to €7.00, fold, SB calls €6.00, fold

Flop: (€16.00, 2 players) 2♣ 9♠ Q♣
SB checks, Hero bets €12.00, SB calls €12.00

Turn: (€40.00, 2 players) 6♥
SB checks, Hero bets €30.00, SB raises to €130.00, Hero raises to €181.00, SB calls €51.00

River: (€402.00, 2 players) 9♣

Spoiler

Hero shows 6♠ Q♠ A♦ J♣ (Two Pair, Queens and Nines)
(Pre 56%, Flop 40%, Turn 73%)
SB shows T♥ K♥ 2♦ Q♥ (Two Pair, Queens and Nines)
(Pre 44%, Flop 60%, Turn 28%)
Hero wins €399.50

Preflop

std

Flop

HU seems me ok

Turn

I improved, so 2barrel

when he c/r on his blanky turn, i don't understand it very well.

I've some history vs him (not a hyper aggro dynamic vs him, but lots of hands and we saw each other do things)

He knows that I'm quite barelly, I think he's aware on that I'm thinking and that I'm going to barrel most times here and quite wide on this non changing nut turn (value/protection thin with my TP, ovp... barrel my airs, and barrel my draws too. Ye I'm going to bet tons and have surely a c/f range here, so he could easily got FE here).

And with history, I saw him quite active turn in drawing (a little different than others regs, that have play loudly since the flop, when he balance more his drawing plays, by less gambling moves flop, but more gambling moves turn)

And this board, I see far more draws than big made hands.
He should have c/r his monsters (sets, DP max + redraws) flop

Maybe he can have weak made hands (like bare DP) that waited for a safe turn to push it (ye if he got some Q9xx that could moreover get some oesd/GS on this turn).

Don't think I really can fold here vs him, even if I'm a little light here, and not way ahead some drawy hands too.
But needing some ~38% equity it to gii EV+, and vs him, folding would be bad I think


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Well you have your reads here. Vs most opponents this c/r is usually Q9xx+ waiting for a safe turn. But if you have reason to belive he attacks you here or something, then i guess calling is fine. My default would be to b/f.

Regards,

Skod


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