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AKo river bluff

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pityumeszi
Joined: 04.05.2012

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 154.2 BB
SB: 212.4 BB (VPIP: 29.79, PFR: 21.28, 3Bet Preflop: 4.00, Hands: 48)
BB: 199.7 BB (VPIP: 26.83, PFR: 21.95, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 42)
UTG: 148.6 BB (VPIP: 22.82, PFR: 19.54, 3Bet Preflop: 4.29, Hands: 399)
MP: 114.1 BB (VPIP: 24.00, PFR: 21.60, 3Bet Preflop: 13.79, Hands: 128)
CO: 250.7 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 19.69, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 594)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♣ K♥

fold, fold, CO raises to 2.5 BB, Hero raises to 8 BB, fold, fold, CO calls 5.5 BB

Flop: (17.5 BB, 2 players) 7♥ Q♥ 7♣
CO checks, Hero bets 8 BB, CO raises to 20 BB, Hero calls 12 BB

Turn: (57.5 BB, 2 players) 5♥
CO bets 24 BB, Hero calls 24 BB

River: (105.5 BB, 2 players) 6♣
CO checks, Hero checks

CO shows K♦ J♥ (One Pair, Sevens)
(Pre 25%, Flop 14%, Turn 7%)
Hero shows A♣ K♥ (One Pair, Sevens)
(Pre 75%, Flop 86%, Turn 93%)
Hero wins 100.8 BB

Hy,

Preflop: I 3bet for value
Flop: I Cbet since it is hard to connect to this board, I have two over cards and it would be difficult for him to continue with small pockets. So my plan was double barrel apart from the situations when an inconvenient card comes like a heart or Q. His fold to pf 3bet stat is 3/17, so he barely folds anything. He raises, it is strange, with Q he would just call, it may be flush or back door flush or small pockets that he bluffs with but with pockets he would give up right away on the later streets I guess so I called.
Turn: Not the best card and in my opinion it was a mistake to call here yet I did, did not believe him and the sizing wasn't too convincing either, I had some equity too.
River: Once I am here and he checks, should I bet or just check fold. He still may have some pockets like 88, 99, TT with heart, so probably I could make him fold those. Would he ever fold 7 here to shove? I am not sure what the best play would be on the river ...

thanks


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

I understand your reasons for calling flop. It's hard for him to have too many 7x and he probably doesn't raise a Q.

It's generally good to just fold this on the flop anyway however at these limits. Guys won't bluff raise as frequently as they should and they can misplay their value range also.

Turn is reasonable when we pick up the flush-draw. I wouldn't fold on this card - the main reason the situation on turn is marginal is due to the flop play. River is reasonable.


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