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x raise top set oop on a drawy flop

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helliaspapas
Joined: 07.03.2009

Poker Stars $0.02/$0.05 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players

BTN: $5.25
SB: $5.02
BB: $10.97
Hero (UTG): $5.13
MP: $4.93
CO: $5.18

Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is UTG with J :spade: Q :diamond: Q :spade: 2 :club:
Hero raises to $0.17, 1 fold, CO calls $0.17, 3 folds

Flop: ($0.41) 3 :diamond: Q :club: J :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $0.25, Hero raises to $1.14, CO calls $0.89

Turn: ($2.69) 2 :diamond: (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($2.69) A :spade: (2 players)
Hero bets $1, CO calls $1

Opponent is pretty passive.First of all my river bet is nonsense.It doesn't make any better hands to fold and worse hands never call.By the river all draws got there.As played I should check the river and fold if villain bets..My plan on the turn is pot and commit if the turn card isn't a diamond, an ace,a king a ten or a nine (I don't take into account eights as villain would have to also have a flush draw in order to draw to the sucker straight).Thus on 23 out of 45 turn cards I pot and commit myself.So 23/45 I bet and if villain calls (which she should do with a range like:AKT*,KdTd**,KdT*d*(she has over 38% equity with this range).I believe that his range calling the flop raise is more or less the same with the range that she calls the turn bet if the turn is favorable card for me(meaning that he wouldn't call my raise with KT or the nut flush draw).So more or less I bet and get it in on a blank and check fold if the dreaded cards come.


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Skodljivec
Joined: 17.12.2011

Hi,

the problem is that 1/2 the turn cards aren't good for you; but if he is passive you can get away with your line for sure.

River is really really bad like you mentioned, and it's a leak common with lower stakes players; you can now see it's a clear mistake, but in the heath of the battle you just make a small bet for no apparent reason. Be aware of that in the future. Don't be too attached to hands.

Regards,

Skod


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