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[SNG SH 15$] Reg-war, which conculision to this call ?

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belgianbeer
Joined: 17.05.2008

Hey guys!

This hand is from the french community.
I played this hand last week and an interesting discussion has been up since then.

SNG 6max

prizepool : 65%/35%

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
Hero ($2,085)
BB ($3,383)
BTN ($3,532)

Dealt to Hero 9♣ 8♦

fold, Hero raises to $2,085 (AI), BB calls $1,885

(...)

BB shows T♦ Q♠

I didn't know this reg, and I wanted to track him on sharkscope till then.
And actually I found that he's one of the most successfull player of the limit :
6.5% de ROI over 12k games in SNG 6max 15$, 19.2% victories.

So when I see this SD, I find it clearly disgusting
Nash equilibrium :
SB : 52.3%, 22+ Ax+ K2s+ K5o+ Q2s+ Q8o+ J4s+ J8o+ T5s+ T8o+ 95s+ 97o+ 85s+ 87o 74s+ 64s+ 54s
BB : 23.1%, 44+ A2s+ A5o+ K8s+ K9o+ QTs+ QJo

Here is a picture of the $EV of his call :

Which conclusions ?
Did he think I was out of Nash ? ...if I shove 60% his call is $EV+
Should I conclude to a missclick ?
Should I think that he did it deliberately, so that I will tighten my range later ?

Actually, I thought I would have found a loozer player because of this call. But here I understand that he is not ! I must adapt myself correctly.

How would you do it ?


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Well I don't think you can make that huge assumptions from this one call alone. Yes it's bit wide, but not like totally absurd so that it could be thought as spite call. In less ICM heavy spot it should be close of bottom calling range. And if you seem looser reg he might assume you to shove perhaps bit wider.

So you can make note of his call and follow his game. Perhaps through database analyze after having decent sample. If he is calling shoves wider in general then tighten or try how minraising or limping works.


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