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AQ on the river

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KingKas
Joined: 30.06.2012

PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): 109.8 BB
SB: 81.6 BB (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 33.33, Hands: 3)
BB: 105.8 BB (VPIP: 17.98, PFR: 15.53, 3Bet Preflop: 7.59, Hands: 381)
UTG: 202.2 BB (VPIP: 41.67, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
MP: 467.4 BB (VPIP: 24.24, PFR: 24.24, 3Bet Preflop: 25.00, Hands: 33)
CO: 832.4 BB (VPIP: 21.74, PFR: 15.65, 3Bet Preflop: 5.77, Hands: 118)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Q♦ A♣

fold, fold, CO raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold

Flop: (7.4 BB, 2 players) 9♥ J♠ A♠
CO bets 4.6 BB, Hero calls 4.6 BB

Turn: (16.6 BB, 2 players) 3♣
CO bets 10.6 BB, Hero calls 10.6 BB

River: (37.8 BB, 2 players) 4♥
CO bets 27 BB Hero ???

Villain seems TAG like, 22/16/5.8/AF1.


Board: 9♥A♠J♠ 3♣ 4♥
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    27.78%  19.44%   8.33% { AcQd }
MP3    72.22%  63.89%   8.33% { AA, JJ, 99, AJs+, QTs, J9s, T8s, AJo+ }

We need 29% equity. If he bluffs KQs also, it's a close call. Is my range correct, or did I miss something? He could also bluff KQs, but he doesn't seem barrel happy. Or should I give him KQs?


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