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AQ 3b pot monster draw

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marcosmartinez
Joined: 03.07.2013

Hi !

Villain 18/11 in 400 hands

fold to 3b 17%
or at CO 33%

fold to cb 3b pot 75%
fold to cb single raised pot 81%

wwsf 42, wtsd 27, w$sd 46

agresions 29,57,29

i normally double barrel this spots vs regs, but i dont know if i have enough FE OTT, and if i bet the turn i must prolly ship good rivers

i will also hate my self if i bet arround 6$ OTT and he shoves, it would sucks to just bet fold that draw .. thats the main reason why i decide to XC if he bets small, but that isnt the best line probably

toughts?

Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $25.35 (101.4 bb)
Hero (BB): $25 (100 bb)
UTG+1: $26.11 (104.4 bb)
UTG+2: $21.09 (84.4 bb)
MP1: $27.59 (110.4 bb)
MP2: $35.18 (140.7 bb)
MP3: $18.33 (73.3 bb)
CO: $39.13 (156.5 bb)
BTN: $25 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q A
5 folds, CO raises to $0.75, 2 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, CO calls $1.75

Flop: ($5.10) 4 J 8 (2 players)
Hero bets $2.67, CO calls $2.67

Turn: ($10.44) T (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $4.98, Hero calls $4.98

River: ($20.40) J (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks


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3 replies
kevin2001
Joined: 14.02.2009

I guess if we dont have fold equity OTT and his range is very nut-heavy, its ok to X/C vs a small bet. His fold vs 3bet is very low so his range may be not that narrow, and his RFI from CO is wide also. I think a bet/call is better if we can fold out his 1-pair hands, and we are doing well equity wise even when called.


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metza
Joined: 28.01.2012

I prefer to just x/r flop, with a sizing that sets up like 80% pot jam on T. He folds a lot to cbet but I'd rather x/r because then we win money from a lot of hands that can't call a bet but will stab when checked to. This is a flop where I'd be pretty happy to get it in, and if he doesn't get it in vs x/r on flop you can just jam T.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

X/call turn seems fine to me. Villain seems aggressive on turns so x/call is ok.


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