50$ KQo shallow stack

benaars

Joined: 03.06.2010

13.04.2015, 15:01 0

Pacific, $50 Buy-in (1,000/2,000 blinds, 250 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 49,871 (24.9 bb)
BB: 24,258 (12.1 bb)
MP: 59,942 (30 bb)
CO: 67,394 (33.7 bb)
Hero (BTN): 29,521 (14.8 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with Q K
MP folds, CO raises to 4,000, Hero calls 4,000, SB raises to 49,621 and is all-in, CO folds, Hero??

Hello
This is very weird hand I played; Normally I would just 3bet jam this hand in the 6max but the opener seemed very tight (20/11 over 45hands) and therefore I decided to flat even though my stack is very shallow. The worst happens as very active SB squeezes and forces us to fold.
Would you still go for a 3bet jam even if the opener seems tight with KQ in this spot? After we flat, we also are getting quite a nice price to call a shove and since the squeezer is very active do you ever consider to call a shove? Or is this hand simply an easy fold?
Thanks

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SDK1987

Moderator

Joined: 12.11.2008

Posts: 43,850

14.04.2015, 10:22 0

The CO is indeed on the tight side, but I expect he will open a little bit wider from CO than the 11% range and you have still some fold equity. I would shove here against him and even if you get called KQo isn’t in a terrible shape most of the time.

As played the SB sets you all-inn and now you need to call 25.271 (29.521-250-4.000) more to win a total pot of 66.042 (2.000+250*6+4.000+29.271*2) if you call here. So you need 38,27% equity to make the call profitable.

The SB needs to be squeeze happy to reach this and without reads stats he will do it I think the situation looks like this:
Equity Winst Split
BU 34.42% 33.05% 1.37% { KhQd }
SB 65.58% 64.21% 1.37% { 77+, ATs+, KQs, AJo+ }

With this in mind I would fold the hand.

Cheers,
SDK1987

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LuckyLukePS

Joined: 28.08.2014

Posts: 191

14.04.2015, 10:43 0

Yup, I concur. I would rip it the first time and make a close fold now unless we have active reads on the SB.

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