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The Big $5.50 mid stage AA facing all in on turn

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lokiah
Joined: 13.04.2011

900+ left in tourney, with 585 to be paid. About average stack to start with. I Felt Q wasn't the best turn card but decided to bet..should I have folded to that shove? I did felt he might have K9+ a lot cept for AK which have pair with gut shot +..with my bet on turn was I commited to call?

PokerStars - $5+$0.50|250/500 Ante 60 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 19.64 BB (VPIP: 17.39, PFR: 19.05, 3Bet Preflop: 22.22, Hands: 23)
SB: 10.32 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 11.11, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 29)
BB: 20.02 BB (VPIP: 13.24, PFR: 9.23, 3Bet Preflop: 11.54, Hands: 69)
UTG: 11.96 BB (VPIP: 9.09, PFR: 9.09, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 11)
UTG+1: 12.39 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
MP: 6.17 BB (VPIP: 25.30, PFR: 13.58, 3Bet Preflop: 6.06, Hands: 83)
MP+1: 56.42 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 9)
MP+2: 65.46 BB (VPIP: 13.54, PFR: 11.70, 3Bet Preflop: 5.13, Hands: 96)
Hero (CO): 31.63 BB

9 players post ante of 0.12 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.58 BB) Hero has A♥ A♣

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, BB calls 1 BB

Flop: (5.58 BB, 2 players) 3♦ 9♠ K♥
BB checks, Hero bets 2 BB, BB calls 2 BB

Turn: (9.58 BB, 2 players) Q♥
BB checks, Hero bets 4.4 BB, BB raises to 15.9 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 11.5 BB

River: (41.39 BB, 2 players) 8♠

Spoiler

BB shows Q♣ K♣ (Two Pair, Kings and Queens)
(Pre 16%, Flop 20%, Turn 82%)
Hero shows A♥ A♣ (One Pair, Aces)
(Pre 84%, Flop 80%, Turn 18%)
BB wins 41.39 BB


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would bet a little bit more on flop, but if it’s you standard sizing on a dry board I don’t mind it.
On turn the turn is tricky, but I would bet for value for sure. The question here is if the BB will shove enough with 1 pair hands or draws to make a call profitable. I wouldn’t do that with a draw and AK I shove pre-flop
Off course you need to call 11,5bb to win a total pot of 41,39bb. So you need only 27,8% equity to make a call profitable.

I don’t think you will reach that:
Board: 3♦9♠K♥ Q♥
Equity Win Draw
CO 14.77% 14.77% 0.00% { AhAc }
BB 85.23% 85.23% 0.00% { 99, 33, KQs, K9s, KQo, K9o }

You can also make your own range in equilab and than you can find out if you can make a profitable call.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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