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AQo vs 4bet when I 3bet MP opener

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18071987
Joined: 02.05.2007

PokerStars - $3+$0.30|4000/8000 Ante 800 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 76.15 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 23.91, 3Bet Preflop: 19.05, Hands: 48)
UTG+1: 36.5 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
MP: 33.09 BB (VPIP: 21.21, PFR: 9.38, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
MP+1: 143.11 BB (VPIP: 21.88, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
Hero (CO): 34.94 BB
BTN: 29.72 BB (VPIP: 40.00, PFR: 20.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 5)
SB: 26.53 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 16)
BB: 23.67 BB (VPIP: 17.07, PFR: 15.00, 3Bet Preflop: 6.12, Hands: 123)

8 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.3 BB) Hero has Q♥ A♠

fold, fold, MP raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 4.88 BB, fold, fold, BB raises to 23.57 BB and is all-in, fold, Hero ?

We need 40% Equity vs him to be right here.

If I will give him range for 4bet AI:
99+, AJs+, AQo+

We have 38% :


       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    61.78%  53.86%   7.92% { 88+, AJs+, AQo+ }
MP3    38.22%  30.29%   7.92% { AQo }

Really 24BB eff left Should I fold such a strong hand?
My deduction was.:

I don't want to be squeeze so I prefer to 3bet/fold my AQo vs MP.
No BB 4bet AI and I know he should 4b AI quiet tight because he have MP and me to act.

Any idea? Or Just kep my range like 99+, AK+,AQs ?


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3 replies
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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I’m not sure how you calculated that you need 40% based on Cev. If I make the calculation you need 37,05% equity here. You need to call 23,57-4,88=18,69 bb and the pot after you made a call is 0,1*8(antes)+0,5(SB)+2 (MP)+23,57(BB)+23,57 (you invested if you call)=50,44bb. 18,69/50,44*100%=37,05%.

Based on the range you gave the BB (99+, AJs+, AQo+) here I would still call with AQo.
I have also calculated this range, because you forget to remove 88 in your calculation:
Equity Win Tie
CO 37.49% 28.71% 8.78% { AsQh }
BB 62.51% 53.72% 8.78% { 99+, AJs+, AQo+ }

I’m afraid it’s likely the BB will stack of even tighter and than you don’t reach the 37% equity here and than you need to fold.

Best regards,
SDK1987


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unknownx13
Joined: 04.04.2010

I don't like 3bet/fold plan here with 33BB. As played, fold. You can easily remove A,J/99 from 17/15/6 guys range in late stage of 3$ donkament.


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18071987
Joined: 02.05.2007

Originally posted by unknownx13
I don't like 3bet/fold plan here with 33BB. As played, fold. You can easily remove A,J/99 from 17/15/6 guys range in late stage of 3$ donkament.

You prefer flat call? Or openfold. Can you tell more about your decision


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