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88 vs EP 3X raise

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slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011

18man 6max tourney 4 paid, 10 or 11 left
CO 18/18 3bet 0 over 11 hands
I know the sample size is tiny, but I had the impression he was a tight player
The previous round in same positions he had 2X then folded when the BU 3bet 2.5X (virtually all in, only left 23 chips behind) and he folded

When I saw the raise I am immediately thinking shove over the top, but realistically what hands am I beating that he is going to r/c with? and I don't think he is going to put 1/5 of his stack in then fold, so do I have much fold equity? In retrospect I think this should have been a fold.....

Poker Stars, $6.39 Buy-in (40/80 blinds, 10 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): 2,040 (25.5 bb)
BB: 4,676 (58.5 bb)
MP: 4,988 (62.4 bb)
CO: 1,197 (15 bb)
BTN: 2,056 (25.7 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 8 8
MP folds, CO raises to 240, BTN folds, Hero raises to 2,030 and is all-in, BB folds, CO calls 947 and is all-in

Flop: (2,504) 4 2 Q (2 players, 2 are all-in)
Turn: (2,504) T (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: (2,504) 6 (2 players, 2 are all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

2,504 pot
Final Board: 4 2 Q T 6
Hero showed 8 8 and lost (-1,197 net)
CO showed J J and won 2,504 (1,307 net)


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It could be a tell that he’s 3x raising now instead of a min-raise what he did earlier. So than it’s likely he has a stronger hand than normal and you don’t have much fold equity either. Based on the info you gave me I would make a fold here.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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Ales851
Joined: 16.07.2012

Based on your sizing read I believe fold is OK


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kacekov
Joined: 21.06.2009

if u do have info on some tells and ignore them its like having no info at all :P
thats like having a hud and then ignoring the stats just to realize they were actually accurate.

when u have a read like u had just fold, until u learn that what u consider a tell wasnt a tell at all.
even tho the sample is tiny playing 18/18 seems like a reasonable player that wouldnt 3x with a 15BBs stack to fold afterwards. so you would be flipping vs 2 overs at best. so yea i would cry a bit and then fold


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slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011

Originally posted by kacekov
if u do have info on some tells and ignore them its like having no info at all :P
thats like having a hud and then ignoring the stats just to realize they were actually accurate.

I know what you mean, but in this case I only saw the sizing difference when I was reviewing the hands afterwards, but yeah it's another hint that I need to be more observant at the time of actually playing the hand


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