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AJs flop FD, miss flush but river TPTK vs heavy betting

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nickycakes
Joined: 10.10.2015

IPoker, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $3.97 (99.3 bb)
BB: $4 (100 bb)
Hero (MP): $7.02 (175.5 bb)
CO: $4.88 (122 bb)
BTN: $4.62 (115.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP with A J
Hero raises to $0.12, 2 folds, SB raises to $0.32, BB folds, Hero calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.68) 4 7 9 (2 players)
SB bets $0.44, Hero calls $0.44

Turn: ($1.56) 8 (2 players)
SB bets $1.09, Hero calls $1.09

River: ($3.74) J (2 players)
SB bets $2.12 and is all-in, Hero?

Thoughts

Villain is super fishy, 53/29/11.5% 3b, but AF of 1.5

Preflop
I think calling his 3-bet is ok. I guess I'm about 50% against his 3-bet range.

Flop
I'm thinking I should have probably raised here now that I'm playing around with equilab.

Turn
Now I have a gutshot, in addition to the nut flush draw, and 3 ace outs as well. Do I put him all in? I just called.

River
Ok, now I have TPTK, but I think the chances of him betting all 3 streets with something lower than a pair of jacks is really slim.


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7 replies
SPeedFANat1c
Joined: 04.01.2009

Flop - since its nut flush draw, 3bet pot, so we have less left in the stacks, I guess to raise and get in should be ok. Not sure. On the other hand - he is passive and we might have close to 0 fold equity. So maybe its not ok to raise :)

Turn probably is ok based on implied odds.

River I think is a fold, because he is passive. He has likely as you say smth better.


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VaskataBuci
Joined: 08.08.2011

Push turn. Agr. factor of 1.5 for player who plays 53 % ofrom his starting hands is not small.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I think you could raise on the flop. You can shove ott. As played river is a fold imo.


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krasops
Joined: 02.02.2014

ur line is fine ... u can fold river and be happy.. also calling isnt far away ...
u can jam turn ,too..


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Agree with jamming turn but as played we have to fold river.


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Alleen86
Joined: 27.05.2010

Calling flop is fine with the nut flushdraw and calling turn when we picked up additional equity is also fine. Raising flop or turn would both be fine, but probably better to call the flop without proper fold equity and since we picked up additional equity on the turn, I like shoving the turn more than raising the flop. I also believe that, in general, we will have more fold equity on the turn, so pot equity and fold equity combined should probably give us a profitable shove there. As played, I would just fold the river. Rarely one pair hand would be good enough to call 3rd barrel.


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MJPerry
Joined: 03.10.2011

Originally posted by nitrol
Agree with jamming turn but as played we have to fold river.

+1

Calling the river bet is just crossing our fingers and hoping he has AK.


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