call or fold River?

Putted the range u gave on equilab, and ur hand holds 71,99% equity w this board until the river. Way ahead villain.

The thing really is his call ott, after u raise it.

If the range narrows in the turn to something like TT+, Ah6h+, Khjh+, 88, A8o, ATo. Then ur real equity goes down to 34,62%.
The odds to call is about 25%, so its a call.. the problem is becoming short in such marginal spot.

BUT, if u remove those sets and overpairs, bc of the strange cbet of one bb and turn cbet of 2bbs in this drawy board, them ur equity goes way up to 75%.

U have 500h of villain, so I ask... Do u think he bets this small with monster hands?

Hi Afu,

thx for your quick answer!

Actually i was thinking that i was beat in this Hand so i tend to a very strong hand TT+,AT,88 or even 66 is possible a 1/2 pot bet with a busted Flushdraw was unlikely cause the Player i observed is a passive one postflop, to me it was more likely that he slowplayed a Monster or an Overpair.

thx for your Analysis, i am not sure how much to discount from the pot odds due icm but tend to think its a marginal spot to call there.

For me a difficult decision

Would u have called this bet from a passive postflop player?

cheers Tony

Originally posted by Grisuuu
Would u have called this bet from a passive postflop player?

The information u just gave me changes everything.
If he is too passive, that doesnt like to bet himself... well.. these low bets are a good sign of strengh already.
That said, its now a clear fold. And I think the hand was well played ♠_thumbsup: