Hi guys,
This is a rather conceptual and theoretical question, but I'm hoping it will be interesting to many of you. So I've read somewhere that poker is a high-risk short-term investment of sorts and thought maybe we could apply certain financial engineering techniques for poker (doesn't this sound cool!?). I will write two ideas below.
1. Instead of maximizing expected value, we could try to minimize risk (variance) trying to achieve a certain fixed expected value. This is essentially what the well-celebrated Markowitz model does for portfolio optimization. This of course, is a more complex problem and might be very hard to solve during each hand, but do you think the concept itself can be useful?
2. Using expected utility instead of the standard expected values. The main idea is that we should be more risk averse when the pot/stack is very large and more risk prone when it is very small.
I would appreciate any thoughts. Thanks!