22 dangerous board

With 10 outs you do not have 30% but 23-24%.

I like the way you played it. Even though it's kind of a scary board, I would have played it the exact same way. Nice hand, sir.

Maybe x/f river or bet smaller and fold to a raise? Higher sets, flushes and straights are possible.

Originally posted by la55i
Maybe x/f river or bet smaller and fold to a raise? Higher sets, flushes and straights are possible.

When we have a set and we set up a perfect shove spot we do not want to x/f. He has so many 2pair in his range that checking would be very bad. Against a player like this it is criminal to check.

We do not look at possibilities but at ranges.

pretty straight forward, im also not 100% sure about the river

I think we should not makea big turn bet but small. This way you can bf river...

Originally posted by Pistoleroo

Originally posted by la55i
Maybe x/f river or bet smaller and fold to a raise? Higher sets, flushes and straights are possible.

When we have a set and we set up a perfect shove spot we do not want to x/f. He has so many 2pair in his range that checking would be very bad. Against a player like this it is criminal to check.

We do not look at possibilities but at ranges.

That "perfect spot" is debatable. So is that "player like this", sample is very small and 60/40 might be a normal player with good run..

I'd bet smaller on the turn and bet (small)/fold river.

Originally posted by inceptioner
I'd bet smaller on the turn and bet (small)/fold river.

Would do it like inceptioner to avoid running to hard vs nuts.

what would you guys have done vs a turn raise from villain?

Depends a lot on villain and raise size.

Well we may have some 10 redraw outs so calling is an option.

Nice hand.
I'm not quite sure about the river betsize there, [but I guess there's no folding to a raise against his range here anyway?].
tricky spot, happy you didn't run into a set of 3s. ♦
well played sir.

Originally posted by nitrol
With 10 outs you do not have 30% but 23-24%.

So I would miss (30-24) 6 % equity. But that was in the worst case scenario were I would play against a Flush . There are ofourse a few set possibilities but I think against his range I wuld have more than 304 equity. But sample size is indeed small.
I am still not sure about the river play. Opponent specific but on this limit in general there are a lot players so It might be acceptable?
Thanks for all the replies

Originally posted by Drawinator

Originally posted by nitrol
With 10 outs you do not have 30% but 23-24%.

So I would miss (30-24) 6 % equity. But that was in the worst case scenario were I would play against a Flush . There are ofourse a few set possibilities but I think against his range I wuld have more than 304 equity. But sample size is indeed small.
I am still not sure about the river play. Opponent specific but on this limit in general there are a lot players so It might be acceptable?
Thanks for all the replies

Your worst case scenario where you are playing against a flush is the most realistic one. As you said, there are of course a few sets possible. You have the bottom set. This means that you have 0% equity. Do you think that villain would raise you OTT with 2 pair or TP when flush completes and you have shown aggression?

There are ofourse a few set possibilities but I think against his range I wuld have more than 304 equity.

So what is his range??