Hey guys...
Full Tilt - $0.02 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
MP: 55.5 BB (VPIP: 56.25, PFR: 14.58, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 49)
Hero (CO): 264.5 BB
BTN: 112.5 BB (VPIP: 10.42, PFR: 10.42, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 49)
SB: 99 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)
BB: 180.5 BB (VPIP: 22.52, PFR: 11.71, 3Bet Preflop: 0.98, Hands: 343)
UTG: 825 BB (VPIP: 25.86, PFR: 20.69, 3Bet Preflop: 15.00, Hands: 59)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♠ A♣
fold, MP raises to 3 BB, Hero raises to 10.5 BB, fold, SB calls 10 BB, fold, fold
Flop: (25 BB, 2 players) 5♣ 3♥ 6♣
SB checks, Hero bets 25 BB, SB calls 25 BB
Turn: (75 BB, 2 players) 3♦
SB bets 25 BB, Hero calls 25 BB
River: (125 BB, 2 players) 9♠
SB bets 38.5 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 38.5 BB
And here's what I thought:
Pre-flop:
Standart 3-bet.
Flop:
Pot size c-bet for protection. The board allows flushes and straight draws.
Turn:
Villain donk bets 1/3 of the pot. I don't think he has a 3 nor two-pair or straight draw, because he cold called a 3-bet, so I think his cards are high or pocket pairs, so I'm thinking he has an overpair, sets, or was semi-bluffing with a flush draw, so I call.
Against the following range I have 55% equity.
Board: 5♣3♥6♣ 3♦
Equity Win Tie
CO 55.21% 55.21% 0.00% { AdAs }
SB 44.79% 44.79% 0.00% { 66-55, AcKc, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, AcTc, KcTc, QcTc, Ac9c, Ac8c }
River:
Villain goes all-in, since he had only a few chips left and the pot was much bigger, I call. The 9 on the river doesn't change anything and I think he would bet his flush draws that didn't complete as a bluff. I don't see him giving up a with only 38BB in a pot 4 times bigger.
With the same range as before, my equity now is:
Board: 5♣3♥6♣ 3♦ 9♠
Equity Win Tie
CO 64.71% 64.71% 0.00% { AdAs }
SB 35.29% 35.29% 0.00% { 66-55, AcKc, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, KcJc, QcJc, AcTc, KcTc, QcTc, Ac9c, Ac8c }
What do you guys think of my thinking process? Would you have done differently?
Villain is totally unknown. So everything I thought was just guessing.
