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set vs 6s7s8 flop

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shecky
Joined: 20.08.2009

After he is such a nit I'm expecting of him to call me mostly with 22-TT pre-flop, so his aggression is fact of a set because I'm think he will just call overpairs on this board
Now when I'm seeing this hand there is nothing that we beat on the river and call there is a mistake
What do you think

Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $5.47 (109.4 bb)
BB: $6 (120 bb) - 13/11/5.5 2.2AF
Hero (UTG): $5.74 (114.8 bb)
MP: $5 (100 bb)
CO: $7.75 (155 bb)
BTN: $6.46 (129.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with 6 6
Hero raises to $0.15, 4 folds, BB calls $0.10

Flop: ($0.32) 6 8 7 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.20, BB raises to $0.62, Hero calls $0.42

Turn: ($1.56) J (2 players)
BB bets $1.17, Hero calls $1.17

River: ($3.90) 2 (2 players)
BB bets $2.91, Hero calls $2.91

Results:

Spoiler

$9.72 pot ($0.40 rake)
Final Board: 6 8 7 J 2
BB showed 7 7 and won $9.32 ($4.47 net)
Hero mucked 6 6 and lost (-$4.85 net)


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4 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

How big is the hand sample? AF is not nitty...


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shecky
Joined: 20.08.2009

230hands


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Just get it in OTF.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

You can't put villain only on 22-TT here. In reality his range is wider but probably he raises the flop with overpairs and sets, maybe 99 or overs with nut FD. Villain AF is not that low. Your main goal is to hit a set when you open small PPs, when you hit you can just get it in OTF.


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