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AKo continuing bluff vs reg

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vengeance77
Joined: 18.04.2010

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $10.20 (102 bb)
Hero (BB): $10 (100 bb)
UTG: $34.71 (347.1 bb)
MP: $11.02 (110.2 bb) 18/16 cb F/T 86/40, AFqq% F/T 41/34 WTSD 18 177 hands
CO: $25.01 (250.1 bb)
BTN: $12.53 (125.3 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A♦ K♥
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, 3 folds, Hero calls $0.20

Flop: ($0.65) 3♥ J♥ 5♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $0.40, Hero raises to $1.12, MP calls $0.72

Turn: ($2.89) 7♥ (2 players)
Hero bets $2.76,
[/hand_history][/converted_hand]


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10 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I do not like raising this dry flop.
In addition- do not like the turn bet too.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

This play might work if you have some reads of villain. It is still quite risky. I would not raise OTF and turn our hand into a bluff. It would be much better if you hold Ah, not Kh.


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marsa08
Joined: 30.01.2014

1. too small raise otf as if you had set etc. you would make it atleast 1.2$-1.6$.
2. Nice turn card to continue barreling but I think that we could bet a bit smaller like around $2.
3. I think that with AK here you could float the flop instead of raising. You have some showdown value and overcards + you can steal the pot later and keep villains range wider by calling.
4. I prefer to raise hands like 67/3x here as a bluff(67 has no showdown value and we have a gutshot and can improve - 3x can still get some "value" from FD: s and hit trips/2pairs.)


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vengeance77
Joined: 18.04.2010

Thanks guys,
I'm expecting 80%+ FE here:) He doesn't have what to call me with:)


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

He has Ax flushes all day long...


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Originally posted by vengeance77
Thanks guys,
I'm expecting 80%+ FE here:) He doesn't have what to call me with:)

What do you think he is calling your x/r with? Flush draws, sets and overpairs? Overpairs might fold to your turn bet. He should fold most of his range to your check raise. I don't think you have so great fold equity than you think. This is why I don't like raising OTF :)


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Overpair might fold on flop vs this xr.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Yes. Anyway villain will have strong holdings after he calls our x/r and that turn card completes flushes, which he has in his range. Flushes will call, sets will call, maybe even AhJx will call? Instead of that 80% fold equity I would say we have closer to 20% :)


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Villain will have here mostly flushes. Sets will re-raise the flop.
Anyway, it is expensive move and I do not like it.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Wrong selection of hand. You'll have goodies like 6♥:4♥: to do this with.


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