He had been playing tight in this game and his stats back that up as well
so should I raise/call here when I am probably dominated or flipping?
ICMizer says this is an easy call, but there is no way he is shoving as wide as it suggests
These are some more likely ranges I think
AQo against
22+,A9s+,AJo+,KJ+ is 0.4% (still think that range is too wide though)
55+,ATs+,AJo+,KQs is -0.54% ( and I think his range might be even tighter than that as well)
On reflection I think I should fold and preserve my nice stack
Seat 7: Player7 ( 1962 ) - VPIP: 20, PFR: 16, 3B: 5, AF: 2.7, Hands: 520
Poker Stars, $3.11 Buy-in (60/120 blinds, 15 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: 1,962 (16.4 bb)
BB: 2,474 (20.6 bb)
MP: 3,058 (25.5 bb)
Hero (CO): 3,392 (28.3 bb)
BTN: 2,614 (21.8 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with A♦: Q♠:
MP folds, Hero raises to 240, BTN folds, SB raises to 1,947 and is all-in, BB folds, Hero calls 1,707
Flop: (4,089) A♣: 7♠: J♠: (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (4,089) K♣: (2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (4,089) 6♠: (2 players, 1 is all-in)
Results:
Spoiler
4,089 pot
Final Board: A♣: 7♠: J♠: K♣: 6♠:
SB showed A♥: K♥: and won 4,089 (2,127 net)
Hero showed A♦: Q♠: and lost (-1,962 net)
