Hi there!
I got a hand which I ve bluffed for 3 barells. I've done some analysing showing me how many hands will fold in every street.
Poker Stars $5.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 2945935
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
BTN: $6.67
SB: $5.28
BB: $5.00
UTG: $6.55
MP: $8.06
Hero (CO): $5.22
Pre Flop: ($0.07) Hero is CO with 7
8
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.15, BTN calls $0.15, 1 fold, BB calls $0.10
Flop: ($0.47) 4
5
5
(3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.26, BTN calls $0.26, BB folds
Turn: ($0.99) Q
(2 players)
Hero bets $0.55, BTN calls $0.55
River: ($2.09) 9
(2 players)
Hero bets $1.15, BTN calls $1.15
I had on this guy only 15 hands - 20/13 stats
Flop - I think that cbet is standard here
He's calling range is like A5s, A4s, A5o, A4o, 99-22, 78s(only dimonds and spades) , 67s, 65s, 67o( rarely so I don't put it ) it gives me 90 hands. I assume that TT+ AK, AQ he would 3bet
Turn - I think that betting on this card shows power often, cause Im representing like AA-QQ, 44, A5 some strong draw like 6s7s, but basically is good card for us to make him fold cards like 22,33,A4, 7d8d, often 67 without fd or even some pairs like 66,77... but I left it cause tbh I don't know if he's folding yet.
I left in his range 58 hands which is A5s, A5o, 44-99, 7s8s, 6s7s, 65s. It gives me 32fold hands.
To a river bet he might fold only 66-88 and missed draws, so he is calling us with 34 hands, 24 folding.
My question is how to count is the bluff is profitable, how many hands has to fold on which street etc. How to analyse better these kind of spots.
Asking for help
thanks, cheers