SB villain is unknown
Turn: Vs a conservative range that I have given villain I have around 51% equity:
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Board: As7d6dAd
Equity Win Tie
MP3 51.27% 44.98% 6.29% { AcQc }
SB 48.73% 42.44% 6.29% { 7h7s, 7h7c, 7s7c, 6h6s, 6h6c, 6s6c, 98s, AhKh, AhQh, KdQd, AhJh, KdJd, QdJd, AhTh, KdTd, QdTd, JdTd, Ah9h, Td9d, Ah8h, Ah7h, Ah6h, 7h6h, 7s6s, 7c6c, Ah5h, Ah4h, Ah3h, Ah2h, AhKd, AhKs, AhKc, AhQd, AhQs, AhJd, AhJs, AhJc, AhTd, AhTs, AhTc }
So in a vacuum I think a value bet should be fine, but since it is so close and due to the rake should we not look to be in better shape? Also, since I think a lot of villains range should be comprised of either TP or FD's then I could be setting myself up to get check raised here or just be value betting myself.
I would have expected villain to mostly check raise sets and 2pr combos, so I have given less weight to these but have not ruled them out entirely. But even if we do it doesn't seem to change much in terms of equity.
Would it be better to check behind and bet/fold river if checked to and call (depending on size) if bet into OTR?
Thanks
PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 205.9 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 50.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
SB: 321.7 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
BB: 100.5 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 26.67, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 16)
UTG: 137.7 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)
Hero (MP): 127.8 BB
CO: 104.6 BB (VPIP: 29.63, PFR: 14.81, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 27)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♣ Q♣
UTG raises to 3 BB, Hero calls 3 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, fold
Flop: (10 BB, 3 players) A♠ 7♦ 6♦
SB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets 6.5 BB, SB calls 6.5 BB, fold
Turn: (23 BB, 2 players) A♦
SB checks, Hero bets 11 BB, fold
Hero wins 22 BB
