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KTs - monster draw OTF

7 Posts
7 Users
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mistralx
Joined: 13.08.2014

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 84 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 8)
BTN: 217 BB (VPIP: 24.14, PFR: 22.41, 3Bet Preflop: 15.00, Hands: 61)
SB: 100.5 BB (VPIP: 16.13, PFR: 11.48, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 67)
BB: 117 BB (VPIP: 19.05, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 44)
Hero (UTG): 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has K♦ T♦

Hero raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) 2♠ J♦ Q♦
Hero bets 4 BB, CO raises to 19 BB, Hero raises to 97 BB and is all-in, CO calls 62 BB and is all-in

Turn: (169.5 BB, 2 players) 3♣

River: (169.5 BB, 2 players) Q♣

Hit monster draw OTF and face a rise.
I don't think I can generate folding equity there, but I think my hand is strong enaugh to stack off, am I right?
Even giving him only nuts:

Stół: 2♠J♦Q♦
       Equity  Wygrana  Podział
MP2    47.32%   47.32%    0.00% { KdTd }
MP3    52.68%   52.68%    0.00% { QQ-JJ, 22, QJs, QJo }


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6 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

This looks ok. You have enough equity to shove here.


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

Hand is strong enough (and you do have FE).


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

Agreed, monster draw deserves shove.


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tiltmonk
Joined: 02.07.2014

I guess we are flipping here most of the time, but there is one note - your opponent raises you 5X!!! It is pretty strong move. I think it is most of the time sets, over pairs and Nutflush draw.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I like it as played. When we add the FE to our equity it is perfect.


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scopinad
Joined: 13.06.2015

Second nut flush draw, open ended straight draw, overcard, banzai!


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