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[$3.5, HUSNG] OSD + 1 over vs. C-BET

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Shin1019
Joined: 06.07.2016

This is HUSNG

Villion has a stat of VPIP: 78, PFR: 34, 3B: 19, AF: 1.1, Hands: 50. C-BET 80%
He seems to be maniac preflop, but passive postflop.
I saw him 4bet shoving preflop with 54o (I was sucked out with my 99)

I held a premium hand AJo and faced min 3 bet preflop.
Since SPR is 2.5 only, I think shoving is a standard play.
But I called as he is weak postflop and I have position (I admit I am probably influnced by previous lose vs. 54o)

On the flop of 2♠: T♠: Q♥:, I have open-ended straight draw + 1 over and faced 50% c-bet.
(He c-bet 80% on the flop, and 20% on the turn so far)

It should be profitable shoving as I got more than 40% equity against Qx, and favorite against most other holdings.

But It has also good odds to call, and he is not aggressive on the turn.

which line would you take? it seems to be close to me.

Poker Stars, $3.32 Buy-in (40/80 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 2 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

BB: 1,371 (17.1 bb)
Hero (SB): 1,629 (20.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A♦: J♣:
Hero raises to 160, BB raises to 320, Hero calls 160

Flop: (640) 2♠: T♠: Q♥: (2 players)
BB bets 320, Hero ??

---------------------------------------
I misunderstood.
It was gutshot, not OSD. So I don't have 12 outs here lol


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3 replies
slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011

I would certainly shove pre
If he is cbetting 80% then I think you have to call OTF as you may have the best hand and give up on the turn to further aggression


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

You have indeed only 3 clean outs for a straight and if you shove the flop you need a decent amount of fold equity against him and I don’t think you have it, because he has only 731 left now and folding for him would be a decent mistake and that makes calling also nasty with so much chips invested on that point. So I would even fold most likely. Off course was pushing pre-flop a lot better here for 17bb effective.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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nsavov
Joined: 24.09.2010

Yeah im shoving pre too :f_drink:


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