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cold 4bet AKo OOP vs tight reg

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shecky
Joined: 20.08.2009

Here we have a tight reg with 3bet:6.3, 4bet:2.4 and 5 bet 2.5 after 30k hands. Is it optimal to call him AK at all here, since we will only flipping the pot each time

Prima, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $4.41 (110.3 bb)
Hero (BB): $4 (100 bb)
UTG: $4.86 (121.5 bb)
MP: $4.06 (101.5 bb)
CO: $4.26 (106.5 bb)
BTN: $4.08 (102 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A♣: K♥:
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.08, CO raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.70, MP folds, CO raises to $4.26 and is all-in, Hero calls $3.30 and is all-in

Flop: ($8.10) 6♠: 5♣: J♣: (2 players, 2 are all-in)
Turn: ($8.10) 9♦: (2 players, 2 are all-in)
River: ($8.10) 9♠: (2 players, 2 are all-in)

Results:

Spoiler

$8.10 pot ($0.12 rake)
Final Board: 6♠: 5♣: J♣: 9♦: 9♠:
Hero showed A♣: K♥: and lost (-$4 net)
CO showed K♦: K♠: and won $7.98 ($3.98 net)


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3 replies
la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

This is pretty easy to solve. You calculate how much you must have equity to call profitably and you see that the number is 42%.
30k hand sample is pretty reliable I think so you can just put QQ+,AKo,AKs in equilab and see that you get only 38%. His range could be also KK+,AKo,AQs+ and then you would get that 42%.


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Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

Well, we can rely there on stats. This is TT+, our equity is 36%, shoving is not good there. Fold to his 5 bet. I would just call his 3 bet btw.


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KingKlaas
Joined: 13.12.2008

May be it's better to forget about the cold 4 bet and fold preflop directly..
The 3bet is also to 0.30 which is more than the standard 3x..


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