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Worth the risk?

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Dre4mBl00d
Joined: 28.10.2016

iPoker - €0.04 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (UTG): 161.5 BB
CO: 76.5 BB (VPIP: 18.18, PFR: 13.64, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
BTN: 188 BB (VPIP: 47.06, PFR: 10.92, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 121)
SB: 49 BB (VPIP: 37.50, PFR: 6.25, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
BB: 125 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has T♣ A♣

Hero raises to 3 BB, CO calls 3 BB, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, BB raises to 5 BB, Hero calls 2 BB, CO calls 2 BB, SB calls 2 BB

Flop: (20 BB, 4 players) 5♦ 6♣ 4♣
SB checks, BB bets 120 BB, fold, fold, fold

BB wins 138.5 BB

Go broke or not?


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4 replies
jimmy21492
Joined: 17.11.2010

FOLD! Better to get money from the maniac in another situation. You reward/risk is to low here..


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Folding seems ok.


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SuperChompa
Joined: 26.07.2016

hi ! I am not too much a math guy but you have 9 outs to the flush
so (4*9) 32% of the time you win 20 + 120
and 68% of the time you loose 120
so 0.32*140 - (0.68*120) = -36.8
this is the expected value of your call. so you would loose money.


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

You're even behind a second pair.


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