BTN: 123.06 BB (VPIP: 39.01, PFR: 27.86, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 147)
SB: 57.32 BB (VPIP: 51.11, PFR: 26.67, 3Bet Preflop: 19.05, Hands: 46)
BB: 119.74 BB (VPIP: 27.85, PFR: 24.05, 3Bet Preflop: 23.81, Hands: 80)
UTG: 99 BB (VPIP: 28.80, PFR: 17.89, 3Bet Preflop: 17.95, Hands: 198)
Hero (MP): 104.1 BB
CO: 71.14 BB (VPIP: 18.50, PFR: 6.69, 3Bet Preflop: 1.74, Hands: 260)
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q♠ 8♠
fold, Hero raises to 2.24 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 1.74 BB, BB calls 1.24 BB
Flop: (6.72 BB, 3 players) A♣ 2♠ 4♠
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 4 BB, SB calls 4 BB, BB calls 4 BB
Turn: (18.72 BB, 3 players) 3♦
SB checks, BB bets 8.9 BB, Hero calls 8.9 BB, fold
River: (36.52 BB, 2 players) 2♦
BB checks, Hero ....
Kind of a loose open... a fish was sitting in the SB and the CO and BTN didn't seem like big threats for an aggressive move.
Postflop, cbetting should be good with all the outs. Now, OTT we get the correct price to call including implieds. I think Villain is having the straight and would be a bit more OTR to make this call +EV.
So I call, and as soon as the board pairs he checks. Kind of weird... would he check the straight? What can he have? A draw? Or is he really in bluffcatching mode vs the exact hand-type that I have?
I thought about overbetting to rep the boat, for a second, but then discarded it... thought it may be -EV and I would get called too often here.
Tricky Spot
