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Set of aces in 3bet pot on dangerous board

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Kev43
Joined: 30.07.2010

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP: 54.6 BB (VPIP: 37.04, PFR: 22.22, 3Bet Preflop: 23.08, Hands: 29)
CO: 163 BB (VPIP: 43.48, PFR: 17.39, 3Bet Preflop: 10.00, Hands: 23)
BTN: 183.2 BB (VPIP: 20.69, PFR: 17.24, 3Bet Preflop: 15.38, Hands: 29)
SB: 100 BB (VPIP: 18.52, PFR: 14.81, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 29)
Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 97 BB (VPIP: 32.14, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 15.38, Hands: 29)

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♦ A♠

fold, fold, CO calls 1 BB, BTN raises to 4 BB, fold, Hero raises to 14 BB, fold, BTN calls 10 BB

Not much to say I think.
BU does not look like a complete fish so he may have a wide isolation range. I know nothing of his calling range though.

Flop: (29.4 BB, 2 players) Q♣ A♣ 8♣
Hero bets 18.2 BB, BTN calls 18.2 BB

The rake is included in the flop pot, this is probably a 2/3 pot bet. I normally do 1/2 in 3bet pots but I don't want to give him a profitable call with KcJx. If he raises I shove.

Turn: (65.8 BB, 2 players) K♥

I should have bet a bit more OTF because I now have slightly more than the pot (I have 67.8 BB).
My choices are check/fold, check/call and shove. I can't really tell what's best against an unknown (probably bad) player.
On a total blank I would probably shove and hope for a call from QQ / 88 /AQ / AxKc or even a draw.
If I cared about being balanced I'd probably have to shove here, but I don't think my opponent is balanced so I think it's better to limit variance, play it safe and just shove on blanks and check / fold on :club: K, J and T

Spoiler

Hero bets 67.8 BB and is all-in, fold

This being said if anybody is interested we can also talk about GTO, it seems doable to be quite balanced in this spot.


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8 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Yes, you should size your bets so that you can push on turn.
As played, it is not a big mistake.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would bet the flop a little bit more with the plan to shove on a blank turn. A bet of 22bb would work a little bit better for value and protection I think.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

This looks ok. Although I'm not sure if you should bet big or small OTF. Betting big just makes villains range more narrow and after that by shoving turn you probably face only a very strong range.


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Dadramel
Joined: 10.08.2014

Standard spot, bet big...


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Kev43
Joined: 30.07.2010

You all shove on the K♥: too ??


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

What is bothering You?


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Originally posted by Kev43
You all shove on the K♥: too ??

The K is a blank on a board like this. It’s unlikely someone will call with a hand like JT pre-flop or on the flop.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Only Kc is bothering but we can redraw.


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