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KK gets raised on river

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slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011

55€ buyin on 888.es I dont normally play these limits, I won the ticket in a freeroll
When he raises the river I am worried about him having :7x: or a full house, is the river a simple b/f?

Seat 2: Player2 ( 11374 ) - VPIP: 14, PFR: 12, 3B: 3, AF: 1.3, Hands: 76

Pacific, 150/300 blinds, 40 ante No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 7,824 (26.1 bb)
BB: 10,240 (34.1 bb)
UTG+1: 11,194 (37.3 bb)
UTG+2: 9,741 (32.5 bb)
MP1: 7,822 (26.1 bb)
Hero (MP2): 23,873 (79.6 bb)
MP3: 11,374 (37.9 bb)
CO: 9,703 (32.3 bb)
BTN: 11,530 (38.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with K♦: K♠:
3 folds, Hero raises to 725, MP3 calls 725, 4 folds

Flop: (2,260) 7♠: J♦: 7♥: (2 players)
Hero bets 1,130, MP3 calls 1,130

Turn: (4,520) 2♣: (2 players)
Hero checks, MP3 checks

River: (4,520) 3♥: (2 players)
Hero bets 2,260, MP3 raises to 9,479 and is all-in, Hero ???

Results:

Spoiler

23,478 pot
Final Board: 7♠: J♦: 7♥: 2♣: 3♥:
Hero showed K♦: K♠: and lost (-11,374 net)
MP3 showed J♣: J♥: and won 23,478 (12,104 net)


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4 replies
samni
Joined: 06.08.2009

Don't think you can get away from it. Given the fact he flat a raise with 14/12 stats in MP3, doesn't look like his has too many 7x in his range. I think the biggest error you make is on the turn when you definately can bet again for value. I don't think a player like this has many floats in his range on this kind of board. I think if you bet turn and he shoves you still can't get away from it as you will already have invested too much. It's less then 40bb effective and we have kings for crying out loud so I happily bet turn and get it in.

As played on this board you don't rep too much on the riviera and I think I still betcall as now he also can have some bluffs in his range although his stats don't seem too agressive.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I would also go for 3 streets of value. Then you get your money in on the river most of the time if he isn’t raising on the turn.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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slippyjim
Joined: 07.10.2011

OTT - The reason I checked was because I felt I was either way ahead or way behind after he called OTF so I wanted to keep his floats and weaker pairs in, by me checking a 2 it makes it look like I had nothing when I cbet the flop.
In hindsight though, when he calls flop, checks the Turn and raises the river with those tight stats, surely he has a full house, would a tight player suddenly bluff raise all in the river with AQ, AK or turn a PP or :Jx:, if he had any of those surely he would just call the river and not turn them into a bluff?


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

There are only 2 logic hands in his range that you can’t beat and that’s JJ and 77. I expect he isn’t bluffing to often with weaker hands that most likely will still call on a turn and river bet based on his TAG stats.


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