Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

Big 7,5 AA Bubble spot

4 Posts
4 Users
0 Reactions
645 Views
AchillesBG
Joined: 06.02.2011

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $6.82 Buy-in (500/1,000 blinds, 125 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 19,923 (19.9 bb)
BB: 35,043 (35 bb)
UTG+2: 16,793 (16.8 bb)
MP1: 18,013 (18 bb)
Hero (MP2): 51,097 (51.1 bb)
MP3: 5,941 (5.9 bb)
CO: 23,842 (23.8 bb)
BTN: 18,394 (18.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A♥ A♠
2 folds, Hero raises to 2,100, 3 folds, SB calls 1,600, BB folds

Flop: (6,200) 6♣ 9♠ 8♥ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets 2,727, SB raises to 8,554, Hero?

The guy is playing 16/12 over 81 hands. We are very close to the money.

I don`t really see a lot of worse hands playing like that tbh. Maybe l JTs but he will probably just shove that... The price i great, but do i really beat enough hands to call here, considering that we are on the bubble?


Reply
Quote
3 replies
reggie123
Joined: 31.03.2009

This is the flop i dont wanna see with aces, you have less then 9% against 66,88,99. Any7 gives you abaut 60% change to win and he is shorter then you and knows that buble is near, so his range there is tight. Its still only 50/50 when there's a TT-QQ, A9,A7.


Reply
Quote
Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

It’s suspicious he isn’t check/shoving with his stack size and that could be a tell he has a monster this time and I would fold without reads on him.

Cheers,
SDK1987


Reply
Quote
samni
Joined: 06.08.2009

I am never folding here. He can easily be spazzing out with 9x here and vs his straightdraws we're also doing fine. It's also only 20bb effective and we have AA so no way I'm folding. My equilab is failing on me at this point but if I had to guess, vs a decent sized range we should have at least around 65% equity, which is more then enough, definately with the money invested.


Reply
Quote