Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

888 10$ 9-man turbo 100/200 Q2s resteal at the bubble vs. bigstack

3 Posts
3 Users
0 Reactions
163 Views
BrunoFaiduttiFan
Joined: 01.12.2016

If I were a poker coach and my student made such a play against an unknown, I would slap him.

However, this was a special situation: My opponent was a very well known fish-reg. The fish-reg has the following stats over 2.4k hands:

- RFI from BU: 64
- fold BU to resteal: 91

Especially at the bubble, this fish-reg usually plays extremely loose. In this spot I actually put him on a 100% raising range.

If I adjust the ranges in SNG wiz conservatively and give him an opening range of only 64% (although, as I explained, I think he is wider in this spot) and a calling range of 27%, SNG wiz still recommends to reshove any suited queen (equity difference for Q2s: 0,29%).

Sometimes the donkeys unfortunately happen to have a hand (like in this case), but after all I think I still like my play considering the specific reads and stats I had about this opponent.

What do you think about the hand?

Pacific No-Limit Hold'em Tournament, 100/200 Blinds (4 Spieler) - Pacific Converter Tool from http://de.flopturnriver.com/Hand-Converter.php

UTG (t4,200)
Button (t4,512)
SB (t2,955)
Hero (BB) (t1,833)

Hero's M: 6.11

Preflop: Hero ist BB mit 2, Q
1 fold, Button raises t400, 1 fold, Hero raises t1,613, Button calls t1,413

Flop: (t3,726) 8, 9, 10 (2 Spieler)

Turn: (t3,726) 4 (2 Spieler)

River: (t3,726) 6 (2 Spieler)

Gesamt Pot: t3,726

Ergebnisse :

Spoiler

Button hat A, K (high card, Ace).
Hero hat 2, Q (high card, Queen).
Ergebnis: Button gewinnt t3,806


Reply
Quote
2 replies
Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

I don’t think he would raise that wide, because he needs to call a shove often of you with the pot odds he gets. That’s why I wouldn’t make a fancy play here.

Cheers,
SDK1987


Reply
Quote
Okkernootje
Joined: 02.09.2013

When seeing this hand: Shoving Q2s on the bubble with probably not much FE is ugly.
Snapfold pre.

In this hand, I think you are levelling yourself too much.

You really would have to have a rock solid read on villain. If you think your read is solid, you've done the math, it probably ok. But be advised: his 2,4k hands include ALL situations. So your stats take them into account too. I'm referring to situations were villain is short himself, is middle stack etc. What you are doing now is combining your in game/note reads (100% raising range) with the stats that are build up from ALL sorts of situations. Thats were things get tricky imo.


Reply
Quote