888 Poker - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
UTG: 151 BB (VPIP: 26.32, PFR: 21.05, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 22)
MP: 197.2 BB (VPIP: 17.43, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 582)
CO: 123.4 BB (VPIP: 21.99, PFR: 19.86, 3Bet Preflop: 1.67, Hands: 146)
BTN: 84.2 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 8)
SB: 113.2 BB (VPIP: 36.82, PFR: 25.91, 3Bet Preflop: 6.67, Hands: 224)
Hero (BB): 128 BB
SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has A♣ K♥
fold, MP raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 8 BB, MP calls 5 BB
Flop: (16.4 BB, 2 players) 8♠ 2♣ 8♥
Hero checks, MP checks
Turn: (16.4 BB, 2 players) 6♣
Hero bets 8.2 BB, MP calls 8.2 BB
River: (32.8 BB, 2 players) K♠
Hero bets 16.4 BB, fold
Hero wins 31.2 BB
Decided to check the flop as there is not much we can represent here and C-betting wouldnt have got him to fold anything better, 99-QQ (i dont think we would have 4-bet QQ since he has position and is fairly tight). I do however think C-betting may have been the best decision on the flop as he is still likely to have AQ, AJ, ATs, KQs which will likely to pay to see another street given the dry texture.
On the turn it seems he doesnt have an overpair as he would have bet to protect his hand most likely. I decide to delay bet for protection with the plan to check/fold on the river unimproved.
On the river i get TPTK and its a clear value c-bet.
Overall i think this was +EV, but im unsure if its better to bet the flop here, also what do we do if he bets the flop?
