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SH - AQo BU v SB 3b fold turn?

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muel294
Joined: 06.06.2009

Pre: Villain seems LP 3b% = 3.13 (1/32) therefore I assumed villain only 3b's for value, something like AA-TT,AKo-AJo,AKs-AJs,KQs.

Is this safe to say this or should I still be including some 3b bluffs as standard or is it better to just begin by assuming villains 3b for value only until there is information to suggest otherwise?

AQo is a standard call for me here but given villains' 3b sizing should I just make an exploitative fold?

as played...

Flop: Seems like a standard call. I think villain can sometimes have some worse Ax, PPs, pairs and draws. In addition I block Ax:diamond: draws, so I think calling at least one street is mandatory here. Don't see any reason to raise.

Turn: This is a really weird card IMO b/c at the time my thinking was: "this should reduce the chance villain has an ace, therefore when he barrels it's more likely to be a bluff/semibluff or thin value because villain may think it's also hard for me to have an ace"

However, since I think villain's range is more heavily weighted towards value hands I think it is unlikely that villain will have AT and I think KK/QQ would be much more likely to check at least one street (either flop/turn) the only other hand is K♦:Q♦: which may not even be in villain's preflop 3b'ing range.

All this leads me to believe that folding is the best play OTT.

As played...

" I haz tripz...i callz " :f_ugly:

River: Terrible river IMO, if villain bets again my plan was to fold and assume villain is not bluffing.

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): $6.19
SB: $6.51 (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
BB: $5.00 (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
UTG: $3.40 (VPIP: 45.45, PFR: 24.24, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 34)
CO: $4.09 (VPIP: 45.45, PFR: 12.12, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)

SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has A♦ Q♥

fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.12, SB raises to $0.50, fold, Hero calls $0.38

Flop: ($1.05, 2 players) J♦ 9♦ A♥
SB bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50

Turn: ($2.05, 2 players) A♣
SB bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00

River: ($4.05, 2 players) 7♦
SB checks, Hero checks

Spoiler

SB shows A♠ K♥ (Three of a Kind, Aces)
(Pre 75%, Flop 82%, Turn 86%)
Hero mucks A♦ Q♥ (Three of a Kind, Aces)
(Pre 25%, Flop 18%, Turn 14%)
SB wins $3.88


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6 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I think it is played ok.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

The call seems fine pre-flop in position. It’s a little bit weird he’s 3betting that much.
As played the river seems like a good spot for a thin value bet after his check. I don’t think he would check better hands on the river.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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YohanN7
Joined: 15.06.2009

It is okay played, but reading OP's thoughts: You are going to talk your way out of a lot of pots you are winning by outsmarting yourself.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

I too like it as played. No need to re-open the action OTR IMO. Flush now also gets there. Villain could try to pressure us once we bet small on river.


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SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

Don’t forget we are blocking the nut flush and that makes it less likely he has that.
I don’t see a reason for him to check better hands on the river as well.


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tiltmonk
Joined: 02.07.2014

There is only one concern to me - preflop. Villain's sizing of 3b is to high. Just note you opened 2,5 and got 3b up to 10bb. So, his sizing of 3b 4X. May be i'm quite nit, may be not, but in this case i would prefer to protect mostly suited hands vs this kind of sizing. I guess it is well played on the postflop.


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