Pre: Villain seems LP 3b% = 3.13 (1/32) therefore I assumed villain only 3b's for value, something like AA-TT,AKo-AJo,AKs-AJs,KQs.
Is this safe to say this or should I still be including some 3b bluffs as standard or is it better to just begin by assuming villains 3b for value only until there is information to suggest otherwise?
AQo is a standard call for me here but given villains' 3b sizing should I just make an exploitative fold?
as played...
Flop: Seems like a standard call. I think villain can sometimes have some worse Ax, PPs, pairs and draws. In addition I block Ax:diamond: draws, so I think calling at least one street is mandatory here. Don't see any reason to raise.
Turn: This is a really weird card IMO b/c at the time my thinking was: "this should reduce the chance villain has an ace, therefore when he barrels it's more likely to be a bluff/semibluff or thin value because villain may think it's also hard for me to have an ace"
However, since I think villain's range is more heavily weighted towards value hands I think it is unlikely that villain will have AT and I think KK/QQ would be much more likely to check at least one street (either flop/turn) the only other hand is K♦:Q♦: which may not even be in villain's preflop 3b'ing range.
All this leads me to believe that folding is the best play OTT.
As played...
" I haz tripz...i callz "
River: Terrible river IMO, if villain bets again my plan was to fold and assume villain is not bluffing.
PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
Hero (BTN): $6.19
SB: $6.51 (VPIP: 21.43, PFR: 14.29, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 28)
BB: $5.00 (VPIP: 18.75, PFR: 18.75, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 32)
UTG: $3.40 (VPIP: 45.45, PFR: 24.24, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 34)
CO: $4.09 (VPIP: 45.45, PFR: 12.12, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05
Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has A♦ Q♥
fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.12, SB raises to $0.50, fold, Hero calls $0.38
Flop: ($1.05, 2 players) J♦ 9♦ A♥
SB bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50
Turn: ($2.05, 2 players) A♣
SB bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00
River: ($4.05, 2 players) 7♦
SB checks, Hero checks
Spoiler
SB shows A♠ K♥ (Three of a Kind, Aces)
(Pre 75%, Flop 82%, Turn 86%)
Hero mucks A♦ Q♥ (Three of a Kind, Aces)
(Pre 25%, Flop 18%, Turn 14%)
SB wins $3.88