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ATo turn weak TP into bluff

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Bebabcsinya
Joined: 01.12.2016

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Converted at http://handhistoryconverter.com/

MP ($39.83)
CO ($24.36)
Hero (Button) ($31.61)
SB ($32.42)
BB ($20.59)
UTG ($25)

Preflop: Hero is Button with 10, A
1 fold, MP raises to $0.75, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.25, 2 folds, MP calls $1.50

Flop: ($4.85) K, 8, A (2 players)
MP checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($4.85) 3 (2 players)
MP bets $3.25, Hero calls $3.25

River: ($11.35) 6 (2 players)
MP bets $5.42, Hero raises to $15, 1 fold

Total pot: $22.19 | Rake: $1

MP: 27/23/13.6 249 hand
R1 MP: 26 (38)
Fold to 3bet: 50 (6)
WTSD: 38%
Aggr: 40%
F: 54
T: 35
R: 13
Fold to fcbet: 33 (6)

Preflop this is the worst Axo card which I would have used in this situation for 3bet
So flop decided to checkback, no oesd-s possible and I am blocking many fd-s so I don't need to protect my hand that much. From now on my plan was to call one and fold if he bets the river.
But on this 6s river I might have got a good bluff situation. I think I am definetely behind here most of the time. So call would be a -EV move. The question is will he fold enough AQ,AJ and even his two pairs enough to make a bluff here a +EV move?


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

When you check the flop I think he could be stabbing you very frequently OTT. His bet sizing OTR also suggests he often doesn't have a very strong hand, so I wouldn't say calling is a bad option. AX hands are blocked so I think his range should have more pocket pairs than AX hands. So now you are turning decent showdown value into a bluff.

I can try to check this with a solver later today.


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LemOn36
Joined: 07.02.2009

I don't like ATo 3 bet personally
But I guess if you don't mix things up and 3bet just strong hands and flat BU a lot it could be all right

And river I'd just jam the $5 extra in, put hands like AQ AJ under more pressure, I find that people fold disproportionately more when you make it 4x and an all-in


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LemOn36
Joined: 07.02.2009
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