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AA ~ Fishy min-pop on river

5 Posts
5 Users
2 Reactions
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DecMate
Joined: 25.01.2009

PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: $13.21 (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
SB: $8.76 (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 100.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
BB: $25.09 (VPIP: 30.00, PFR: 30.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 10)
UTG: $10.12 (VPIP: 20.44, PFR: 13.14, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 139)
Hero (MP): $10.15
CO: $10.00 (VPIP: 26.83, PFR: 24.39, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 41)

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A♥ A♣

fold, Hero raises to $0.30, fold, BTN calls $0.30, fold, fold

Flop: ($0.75, 2 players) 4♥ 4♦ K♠
Hero bets $0.48, BTN calls $0.48

Turn: ($1.71, 2 players) 6♥
Hero bets $0.82, BTN calls $0.82

River: ($3.35, 2 players) 3♦
Hero bets $2.80, BTN raises to $5.60, fold

Spoiler

BTN wins $8.55

So yeah I could of bet more on the turn, probably. I decide this is the right board texture to go for a triple barrel, but kinda lost when I get min raised on the river.
I know our pot odds are TREMENDOUS but his line looks nutty.
Thoughts?


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4 replies
Mozzek
Joined: 16.07.2016

I personally like to cbet 1/3 on paired boards in general, you keep your opps range wider and you can decide how to continue OTT pretty easily then. In this case I think 2/3 OTF should be no problem, you don´t block Kx and your opp still should call with his PP. I don´t really see either of you having 44 (both of you have A4 of clubs and that´s it - he´s got 44 on the top of that). Going smaller OTT with your sizing doesn´t make sense to me. Some draws/gs are opened now, so you should keep betting 2/3-3/4 imo. But mainly, you are still draining value out of Kx and you can get more than just 1/2 from it for sure. OTR again you size up, which just doesn´t make sense to me, I think better line would be 2/3 OTF 2/3 OTT and possilby 1/2 OTR. Anyways, I wouldn´t fold this OTR, you are just to high up in your range if I´m not mistaken. He might play busted FD like this or even some weaker Kx - he doesn´t look like a reg to me. All in all, the only hands that beat you are 44 and 66. So, without info on opp, I call.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I don't have much to add to what Mozzek said. I'm just more nitty when it comes to river raises at the micros so I might consider folding, but from theoretical point of view you are too high in your range as Mozzek said.


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CucumbaMan
Joined: 13.10.2017

That's a pretty tough spot. I think you should call, but you are not very happy about it :)


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

good fold.

if he's not a reg that's even more of a reason to fold since he can have like literally any suited 4x or straight, this line from fish is so ridiculously nutted like the turn check/minraise. a reg maybe could try to use this line to level you but i almost never have seen it happen (almost)


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