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laydown of trips with A kicker.

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RubbyDubby
Joined: 15.02.2018

My question here is: Should we call the turn raise and hope for an AJ7 or 2 or just fold there immediately?
Personally I think we should call the turn because we absolutely get his stack if we hit.
But on the river I was hosed I think. Maybe...... maybe a J with a worse kicker but I think a straight or a boat.

BB: 171 BB (VPIP: 40.91, PFR: 22.73, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 23)
UTG: 196 BB (VPIP: 21.10, PFR: 14.68, 3Bet Preflop: 4.44, Hands: 109)
CO: 174 BB (VPIP: 22.07, PFR: 16.30, 3Bet Preflop: 3.28, Hands: 742)
BTN: 108.5 BB (VPIP: 23.02, PFR: 18.55, 3Bet Preflop: 7.53, Hands: 754)
Hero (SB): 115 BB

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A♥ J♥

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (6 BB, 2 players) J♦ J♣ 9♠
Hero bets 5 BB, BB calls 5 BB

Turn: (16 BB, 2 players) 7♥
Hero bets 12 BB, BB raises to 24 BB, Hero calls 12 BB

River: (64 BB, 2 players) 2♦
Hero checks, BB bets 62 BB

Spoiler

fold

BB wins 62 BB


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6 replies
bigdog63
Joined: 24.10.2011

There a plenty of busted draws KQ, QT, KT, .... Also 9x, TT, AK, QQ (his 3bet stat is 0.0).
I think R is a call here, if you loose its a cooler, I know it sucks. But there are plenty of hands thast you beat here.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

you gotta call with AJ, might find a fold with worse jacks. he can absolutely have KJ or worse value hands some % of the time


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

I would call this down. Sure he can have a better hand but he can also have something stupid or a weaker Jx.


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CucumbaMan
Joined: 13.10.2017

Yeah, you probably have to call this one, but you won't be happy about it.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

There are plenty of possible better hands though... 77,99, T8, J9, J7....


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RubbyDubby
Joined: 15.02.2018

Tnx all..
Because I'm on ..this.. mission I'll lay these crying calls down for now.
I'm really interested what that will bring over 25K of hands (2NL). Maybe need another 25K so 50K total to have some sample.

@bigdog63
I do not see that much a busted draw. He raised me already on the turn which might tell he did hit it there. Also his timing was like BAM!... I've got you!
His 3bet sample is non relevant I think with only 23 hands.


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