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SNG 6max 0.25€ KQs wet board vs 2 players

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Mayb3n0T
Joined: 03.01.2017

PokerStars - 10/20 Ante 3 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BB: 42.4 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
UTG: 72.9 BB (VPIP: 36.58, PFR: 28.09, 3Bet Preflop: 10.29, Hands: 277)
Hero (MP): 72.9 BB
CO: 79.3 BB (VPIP: 28.14, PFR: 8.99, 3Bet Preflop: 2.46, Hands: 470)
BTN: 86.2 BB (VPIP: 41.67, PFR: 25.71, 3Bet Preflop: 9.09, Hands: 37)
SB: 96.3 BB (VPIP: 59.14, PFR: 1.65, 3Bet Preflop: 1.37, Hands: 190)

6 players post ante of 0.15 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.4 BB) Hero has Q♥ K♥

fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, SB calls 2.5 BB, BB calls 2 BB

Flop: (9.9 BB, 3 players) Q♠ 9♠ 7♠
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets 6.6 BB, SB calls 6.6 BB, fold

Turn: (23.1 BB, 2 players) Q♣
SB checks, Hero bets 15.4 BB, SB calls 15.4 BB

River: (53.9 BB, 2 players) 4♣
SB checks, Hero checks

Should i value bet river? My doubt here is what hands call another bet? All draws that he could had didn't hit river, so i think he fold every draw that missed. He could call with a 9x but doesn't have much on his range and i don't think he calls a third bet with 9x. I could bet something like a 1/3 of pot but even this bet isn't a great idea if i face a raise from him on river.

Cumps ;)


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3 replies
AgapieGheorghe
Joined: 10.07.2011

As you said you dont want to bet the river and get raised so your line on the River seems the best line IMO.


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LacsapR
Joined: 14.07.2011

I like your play! A raise OTR would be pretty weird...so x back is what I also like here


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Moderator
SDK1987
Joined: 12.11.2008

On the river we have 47,7bb left and the pot is more then that. If I would make a thin value bet it would be a shove, because with any reasonable bet you need to call a shove of him as well.

Our villain looks like a calling station based on his stats, but he needs to call with a weaker Q or 9x hand to make a shove here profitable and that’s thin for sure. I don’t think it would be to terrible to do it, but without reads is checking the best option.

Cheers,
SDK1987


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