Skip to forum
Notifications
Clear all

Combo Draw

4 Posts
3 Users
0 Reactions
503 Views
DannyHorsley
Joined: 03.12.2014

888 Poker - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (SB): 101.8 BB
BB: 100 BB (VPIP: 38.71, PFR: 29.03, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 33)
UTG: 104.4 BB (VPIP: 21.35, PFR: 19.10, 3Bet Preflop: 3.70, Hands: 91)
CO: 151.8 BB (VPIP: 21.74, PFR: 11.59, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 74)
BTN: 102.6 BB (VPIP: 22.86, PFR: 18.57, 3Bet Preflop: 13.04, Hands: 71)

Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has K♦ Q♦

fold, CO raises to 2.4 BB, fold, Hero raises to 8 BB, fold, CO calls 5.6 BB

Flop: (17 BB, 2 players) 2♦ T♣ J♦
Hero bets 10 BB, CO calls 10 BB

Turn: (37 BB, 2 players) 3♣
Hero bets 20 BB, CO raises to 133.8 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 63.8 BB and is all-in

River: (204.6 BB, 2 players) 7♥

Spoiler

Hero shows K♦ Q♦ (High Card, King)
(Pre 71%, Flop 60%, Turn 34%)
CO shows Q♣ J♣ (One Pair, Jacks)
(Pre 29%, Flop 40%, Turn 66%)
CO wins 194.4 BB

Anyone care to work out the odds here for me? I've done some rough calculations and I think it was close but overall a -EV call :f_frown:


Reply
Quote
3 replies
Willy411
Joined: 24.07.2014

Firstfull write note to weird open siz8ng ..:)

You did agression pf, than bet F and T.. he has a strong hand if he re-raise here. (like slowplay sets). Maybe he can have a few of AdXd.. that beat us
Put it into Equilab.
We have like 13outs?? == cca 25%. Our pot odds is 63 / (120 + 63) == we need 33% (if we count only with sets.


Reply
Quote
Sunrise1912
Joined: 24.11.2009

This hand is all about math. Assign him with a range and calculate if you have a plus EV call.

Another line that i would almost always take in such spots is check/push the turn. It generates much more fold equity vs his naked Jx hands and even if called you do have a nice equity. You can balance this with your monsters like JJ/TT/JT and if you think hes aggro all overpairs as well.


Reply
Quote
Willy411
Joined: 24.07.2014

With this monsters you would do c/r? Isnt the board wet for checking?


Reply
Quote