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How much I need to be right to this call be +EV?

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kappozo
Joined: 16.04.2014

Hey guys, I have about 250 hands from the villain what is not a big sample but I think he is aggressive and has 30% river bet in my sample.

PokerStars Zoom, Hold'em No Limit - $0.01/$0.02 - 6 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker

Gyutan (UTG): $2.21 (111 bb)
wolverine931 (MP): $1.62 (81 bb)
eagle2030 (CO): $2.00 (100 bb)
AlanLoppes (BU): $4.06 (203 bb)
Comra1d (SB): $3.20 (160 bb)
Gabs70 (BB): $2.50 (125 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.03) Hero (AlanLoppes) is BTN with T T
3 players fold, AlanLoppes (BU) raises to $0.05, Comra1d (SB) 3-bets to $0.16, 1 fold, AlanLoppes (BU) calls $0.11

Flop: ($0.34) 4 J 2 (2 players)
Comra1d (SB) bets $0.16, AlanLoppes (BU) calls $0.16

Turn: ($0.66) 5 (2 players)
Comra1d (SB) bets $0.32, AlanLoppes (BU) calls $0.32

River: ($1.30) 5 (2 players)
Comra1d (SB) bets $0.82, AlanLoppes (BU) folds

Total pot: $1.30 (Rake: $0.05)
Comra1d (SB) wins $1.25


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3 replies
Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

0.82/(1.30+0.82+0.82)
about 28%


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kappozo
Joined: 16.04.2014

Originally posted by Tomaloc
0.82/(1.30+0.82+0.82)
about 28%

Thank you, bro. Are you still playing zoom on the poker stars? I've just seen your blog.


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

i haven't really been "feeling it" recently, just playing for fun sometimes. thanks :f_biggrin:


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